Best Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

by WagerHome Blog on October 13, 2020

Week 6 of the college football season featured one of the craziest Saturdays we’ve ever seen.

We had LSU getting beaten at Missouri, Oklahoma and Texas went to quadruple overtime, and Alabama and Ole Miss combined for 111 points – prompting Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin to say, “I thought they played defense in the SEC.”

So what’s in store for week 7, and more importantly, where should you put your money? Take a look at our best bets.

Louisville at Notre Dame (-14)

Louisville has a great offense led by Malik Cunningham, so it should score some points in this one. But the Cardinals also turn the ball over too much and play suspect defense.

Notre Dame struggled out of the gate with a lackluster win over Duke, but the Irish have been more than impressive ever since and are coming off a 16-point win over Florida State.

This will be a high-scoring affair for both teams, with Notre Dame winning by at least 17 points.

LSU (+11) at Florida

No question the defending national champions were gutted this offseason, losing 37 players from last year’s team. But is LSU really a below .500 team?

Their current 1-2 record says yes, and they will be 1-3 after this weekend’s game at Florida. But the Gators have some real problems on defense, and the Tigers will keep this close.

Quarterback Kyle Trask will lead Florida to victory, but LSU covers the double-digit spread.

Clemson at Georgia Tech (+26.5)

Clemson looks every bit the No. 1 team in the country so far, but other than a game against The Citadel, the Tigers haven’t covered a spread as big as this one. Georgia Tech is better than both Wake Forest and Virginia, and both of those teams kept it to within three touchdowns. That will happen again to Clemson this week.

The Tigers win easily but fail to cover the spread.

Coastal Carolina (+7) at Louisiana

The Ragin’ Cajuns were all the rage after beating Iowa State to start the year, and deservedly so. But two lackluster wins over Georgia State and Georgia Southern (by a combined five points) has taken the bloom off the rose.

Coastal Carolina has looked dominant since it also upset a Big 12 team to open the season and does not deserve to be touchdown underdogs. Take the Chanticleers and the points.

Georgia at Alabama (-5)

The game of the week is No. 3 Georgia at No. 2 Alabama. Both teams have been dominating opponents, with Georgia winning by an average of 23 points and Alabama winning by 21.

best bets

Expect this to be a close game throughout, but the superior Tide offense will pull away in the fourth quarter and win by at least a touchdown. Alabama covers the modest five-point spread at home.

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NCAA Football Week 7

NCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

by WagerHome Blog on September 24, 2020

The college football season rolls into what is officially week 4, but for many teams, this will be our first chance to see them on the field.

The players and coaches aren’t sure what to expect after the long layoff, which adds an extra layer of intrigue as we pick the games and point spreads that provide the most value for your betting dollar.

Florida (-14.5) at Ole Miss

Continuity is the key, as Florida returns quarterback Kyle Trask. He gives the Gators a major leg up on Ole Miss, which has a new quarterback learning a new system from new head coach Lane Kiffin.

Ole Miss had the worst pass defense in the SEC a year ago, and it has done almost nothing to improve it. Florida will have its way with the Rebels on the offensive side of the ball and win this game going away. Give the points. Florida covers easily.

Missouri (+28.5) vs. Alabama

Alabama kicks off its campaign with a trip to Columbia, Mo., to face Missouri and its new head coach, Eli Drinkwitz. Missouri is missing almost its entire passing attack from a year ago, but it does still have running back Larry Roundtree, and Drinkwitz wants to run the ball.

Alabama will look every bit the No. 2 team in the nation on offense and will win by at least three touchdowns. But the Crimson Tide’s defense is young, Mizzou’s run game is solid, and the Tigers will manage to cover against Alabama’s backups in the fourth quarter. Go with Missouri and the points.

Louisville (+2.5) at Pittsburgh

In one of the best matchups of the weekend, Louisville looks to rebound from its loss to Miami with a trip to Pittsburgh. Pitt is the higher-ranked team (No. 21 to No. 24) and is 2-0, but those wins came against Austin Peay and Syracuse. And it’s worth noting that against Syracuse, the Panthers didn’t come close to covering the spread.

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Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham tightens up the turnovers and leads the Cardinals to victory. Put your money on Louisville.

Kansas State (+27) at Oklahoma

No. 3 Oklahoma is a big favorite at home, as it should be after crushing Missouri State last week. But Kansas State is better than the team that lost at home to Arkansas State.

The Wildcats are being undersold here. Four times last season, Kansas State was a road underdog, and three times it ended up covering the spread.

Oklahoma will win this game easily, but the Wildcats will cover.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Best Weekend Bets

Three Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on December 7, 2019

After this weekend we will know which four college football teams still have a shot at the national championship, and which teams have had their dreams end. It is one of the best weekends on the NCAA football calendar, and if you currently run your bookmaking operation with a pay per head site, then you are expecting a big weekend of action. And if you haven’t yet signed up for a PPH site, WagerHome.com gives you four free weeks to try it out.

As for this weekend’s games, these are the top three favorites expected to win their conference championships and cover the point spreads.

LSU Tigers (-7) vs. Georgia Bulldogs

It wasn’t that long ago that LSU was sitting in the No. 1 spot in the College Football Playoff rankings. But even though it didn’t falter, it dropped to No. 2. If the Tigers can impress enough against a top team like Georgia, they just might be able to climb back up to No. 1.

I expect the Tigers to have the motivation and incentive to come out strong, put the hammer down on offense, and never let up.

Georgia does have one of the best defenses in the country, but scoring points for them has been a little bit tougher to accomplish. The Bulldogs have plenty of motivation for this game, too, knowing that a win will get them into the Playoff. But LSU is the superior team and having the better season. It will win the SEC Championship and cover the spread.

Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5) vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Ohio State got to the No. 1 position in the College Football Playoff because it is simply annihilating opponents. Consider that when they fell behind 6-0 last week to Michigan, it was the Buckeyes’ largest deficit of the season. They, of course, went on to beat Michigan by 29 points, the 11th time in 12 games they’ve won by at least 24 points.

They have nine wins now against the spread, and with all the incentive in the world to stay No. 1 in the playoff rankings, there will be no let-up against Wisconsin. The Badgers are good, and they earned their way into the Big Ten Championship Game. But don’t forget that they’ve already lost to Ohio State this year, 38-7.

Take the Buckeyes to win big.

Oklahoma Sooners (-9) vs. Baylor Bears

It was just three weeks ago that Oklahoma and Baylor played one of the best games of the year. Baylor jumped out to a huge 28-3 lead, only to watch Jalen Hurts lead a furious second-half comeback and take the win.

Baylor got its lead because of turnovers by the Sooners, and that is something that I expect to be cleaned up for the rematch. Also, there won’t be any looking past the Bears this go-round. An impressive win by Oklahoma keeps it in contention for a playoff berth, and that alone will keep this team motivated for the full 60 minutes.

Oklahoma will win another Big 12 Championship and cover the spread.

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WagerHome BlogThree Favorites To Bet For NCAA Conference Championship Weekend

Four Underdogs To Bet In Week 14 Of College Football

by WagerHome Blog on November 26, 2019

Thanksgiving week is upon us, and that means in a season already jam-packed with football, we actually get even more. Indeed it is something to be thankful for, as is the freedom to run your own bookmaking service through a Pay Per Head site run by WagerHome.com. You get four free weeks when you sign up, and just in time for the best time of the sports year – football playoffs.

With so many games on the menu this week, there are so many values to be had. And these are the four college football underdogs that are the best plays this week.

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+4)

The Big Ten West title is on the line in this one and with it a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game to play Ohio State next week. It’s a surprise to see Minnesota open as a home dog. They haven’t lost a game at home yet this season and have won four straight at home against the spread. Meanwhile, Wisconsin is just 1-4 against the spread in its last five games, which includes losses at Illinois and Ohio State.

This will be a tight game between against two teams jockeying for a shot to play for the conference title, and I want Minnesota and the points.

Texas A&M Aggies (+16) at LSU Tigers

LSU is headed to the SEC Championship Game and a possible trip to the College Football Playoff. Other than getting the win, this game is meaningless. LSU no longer has to show its dominance. I think the Tigers let down a little, and, for the third straight week, they fail to cover the spread.

On the other side, the Aggies just covered on the road at Georgia, and their defense is playing great, holding opponents under 20 points in each of their last three games. I think Texas A&M covers again. Take the 16 points.

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+12)

At 9-2 against the spread this season, Oklahoma State has been one of the better plays all year long. Now it’s time for the annual tilt against arch-rival Oklahoma, and once again, I think the Cowboys keep this one close and cover the 12-point spread.

The Sooners, on the other hand, have been one of the worst teams to bet on this year, losing against the spread in four straight weeks and seven times overall. Three of their last four wins have been by a touchdown or less, and I think this game goes the same way. Take the Cowboys and the points.

Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats (+3)

Kansas State is another of those teams that have played above the spread almost all season long. They are 8-3 ATS and have won five of their last six ATS. Those wins include outright victories against Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Mississippi State, and a cover against Texas.

In each of its last three games in which Iowa State was the favorite, it failed to cover. And just last week as big 26-point favorites against Kansas, the Cyclones only won by 10. I was surprised to see Kansas State open as home dogs in this one, so my money is on the Wildcats and the points.

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WagerHome BlogFour Underdogs To Bet In Week 14 Of College Football

Top Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12

by WagerHome Blog on November 16, 2019

Even if you haven’t made the decision yet to open your own Pay Per Head bookmaking service, it’s always better to be in the loop on who the hot teams are and what the best bets are. And, as the NCAA football season heats up for the stretch run to the College Football Playoff, this is where the action is.

Rivalries and trips to conference championship games hanging in the balance highlight our top bets this weekend.

Minnesota (+3) at Iowa

Much more is at stake this year than the Floyd of Rosedale pig trophy, awarded to the winner of this game since 1935. The Golden Gophers are in the top 10 and 9-0 for the first time in 115 years and hold out hope that they can get into the Big Ten Championship Game and into the College Football Playoff. And yet they come into this game as the underdog.

Iowa has struggled offensively against Top 25 teams, managing a total of 37 points in three games against ranked opponents. Meanwhile, the Gophers offense is rolling, with more than 37 points scored per game. There is simply too much at stake, and Minnesota is playing too well at the moment, to believe it won’t be ready for this one.

Take the hot team and the points.

Oklahoma (-9) at Baylor

It is true that Oklahoma has had some struggles on the road. They lost to Kansas State and were very slow starters at Kansas. And just a week ago, they squeaked past Iowa State by one point at home. But in all of those games, Oklahoma put up points, and that is something Baylor has struggled to do. Last week, the Bears managed just nine points in regulation against TCU.

Expect Jalen Hurts to come out and make a statement with his performance in Waco. But also remember that the closer we get to the playoff selection, the more teams want to record an impressive win. Oklahoma will not let up in this one as they try to make their case to the committee.

Oklahoma goes big over Baylor and covers the nine-point spread.

Navy (+7.5) at Notre Dame

If there’s one area where Notre Dame has struggled, it’s run defense. Michigan went for more than 300 on the ground against them. Louisville nearly hit 250. New Mexico also topped 200 yards. And what’s the one thing Navy does best? Run the football, to the tune of 6.08 yards per carry.

Navy is 6-2 against the spread this season, and there’s every reason to believe that will improve to 7-2 after this week. The Fighting Irish do have familiarity against the triple-option, but Navy will still control the clock and eat up yards at will, and it will keep this game close.

Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. Notre Dame. That trend continues. Take Navy and the points.

These are the hot games your PPH clients are likely to jump on this weekend, and the games we recommend you play yourself. And if you haven’t yet launched your own Pay Per Head site, check out the package offered by WagerHome.com and sign up today.

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WagerHome BlogTop Three NCAA Football Bets in Week 12