Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 6, 2021

Hello darkness, my old friend…

For those of you (us) that thought finally we were going to avoid having to watch Alabama in the College Football Playoff, not so fast. ‘Bama is back in the CFP for the seventh time in eight seasons on the strength of a dominating win over Georgia to win the SEC.

The win was good enough, and Nick Saban’s history is decorated enough for the Crimson Tide to be the favorite to win the National Championship.

  • Alabama (+120)
  • Georgia (+140)
  • Michigan (+700)
  • Cincinnati (+1600)

Alabama has the best coach in the country, regularly the best roster in the country, and has quarterback Bryce Young, who is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Even though this was a disappointing season by Tuscaloosa standards, they are the favorite, and it’s easy to see why.

No. 1 Alabama (-14) vs. No. 4 Cincinnati – Cotton Bowl

The four teams that made it in did it without controversy. But the seeding of the four teams is not without argument. As good as Cincinnati has been this season, everyone wanted to be seeded first so they could play the Bearcats.

Alabama gets that honor, jumping from No. 3 to No. 1 because of their win over Georgia. As selection committee chair Gary Barta explained, “Not only did Alabama beat Georgia – the way they beat them. They controlled the game, pretty much from start to finish.”

Couldn’t Barta say the same thing about Michigan, who Alabama leapfrogged? In fact, you could say it, but without the “pretty much,” because Michigan’s 42-3 was every bit start to finish dominating win.

Saying that Alabama’s one win was more impressive than Michigan’s last two wins is questionable, but that’s what the committee did, and the Tide gets Cincinnati in the semifinal. However, they will have to do it without star wide receiver John Metchie III, who is out with a significant ACL injury.

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5) – Orange Bowl

If there was one knock on Georgia, it was wins over quality teams. They played lots of great football this season, but their schedule was without any top-10 teams. Until they faced No. 3 Alabama, and that didn’t go so well.

Now they get a team that has dominating wins over a pair of top-10 teams, Wisconsin and Ohio State. And Michigan just won the Big Ten with a blowout over Iowa, 42-3.

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

But we know that Georgia is still really good. Michigan still has Jim Harbaugh as its head coach, and his ability to win big games is still in doubt. And being runner-up in the SEC is still considered just as good as winning most other conferences.

And for all of those reasons, Georgia is more than a touchdown favorite to win their semifinal and set up a rematch with Alabama in the Championship Game.

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WagerHome BlogEarly College Football Playoff Betting Picks

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2021

In Week 7, we watched No. 2 Iowa suffer a stunning loss to Purdue. Alabama is back after losing to Texas A&M, as they easily handled Mississippi State. And Oklahoma has a star in the making in freshman quarterback Calen Williams, who got another big Sooners win.

It’s now Week 8, and the best college football betting continues. Check out our best NCAA Week 8 college football bets below.

Tennessee at Alabama (-27.5)

Beware an angry Nick Saban. Finishing undefeated and playing for a national championship feels to Saban like a birthright, which is why the loss to Texas A&M back on October 9th was so hard for him to take.

Enter last week, where he took a 17.5-point spread against Mississippi State and turned it into a 40-point win. And this week, he’s now supposed to beat Tennessee by four touchdowns, and you would be foolish to bet against him.

The Volunteers have covered three of six games this year, and they’ve won four games by at least 25 points. But this week, it’s going to be a big loss in Tuscaloosa. The Tide will cover.

Northwestern at Michigan (-21.5)

It’s been quite some time since Michigan played a blowout win. In their first three games, the Wolverines won by an average margin of victory of 35 points. In their last three, the average margin of victory is 10. Although they covered in the last two games, with wins over Wisconsin and Nebraska.

One of those wins for Michigan was at Nebraska, a team that beat Northwestern by 49. This week’s Michigan win isn’t going to be by that seven-touchdown margin, but it will eclipse the three-touchdown margin of the current point spread.

Michigan rolls against the Wildcats and wins this game by more than 28 points. Bet on them to cover the spread.

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

Cincinnati (-28.0) at Navy

Cincinnati is 6-0 on the season and 5-1 against the spread, including a 2-0 mark ATS when going on the road. That includes a 10-point cover at Indiana and an 8.5-point cover at Notre Dame. The Bearcats have climbed to the No. 2 ranking in the country, and as much as it was a longshot when the season began, this team is making a solid claim for a playoff spot.

There is only one more ranked team on the schedule, and it isn’t Navy. Cincinnati needs impressive wins, and that requires a cover against the Midshipmen, who just lost by 18 to Memphis. The Bearcats get it done and continue to justify their high national ranking.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets