NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on August 17, 2023

We’ve got NFL preseason games all weekend long, including our first Monday night game of the season. And that means there is a full weekend of NFL betting.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons (-6) – Friday

It is official. Bijan Robinson, one of the most anticipated running back prospects in years, will make his Falcons debut against the Bengals on Friday night.

Falcons head coach Arthur Smith was a bit of a party pooper, adding to the announcement;

“We’re not going to go crazy. We just need the reps.”

Three reps, ten reps, all signs point to Robinson being worth your time. He’s had a great training camp for the Falcons, and his first time on an NFL field, even in the preseason, will be an event.

NFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) – Saturday

These two teams play just 180 miles away from each other, and these two starting quarterbacks are separated by just one-hundredth of a second. A centisecond, as 0.01 is known, was the difference between the 40-time for Bears quarterback Justin Fields at the NFL combine and what Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson ran.

Richardson has been named QB1, and he will get reps. Fields will play again this preseason, and hopefully, it will be this week. The quarterback track meet would be fun to watch.

New Orleans Saints (-3) at Los Angeles Chargers – Sunday

Derek Carr continues his trip around the AFC West. Last week he played the Chiefs, a team he faced 17 times as the quarterback of the Raiders. Now he gets the Chargers, a team he faced 18 times when they were division rivals.

He looked sharp last week, and all of his offensive pieces are healthy and clicking. Justin Herbert never plays in the preseason, which makes the Saints a deserved favorite at SoFi on Sunday.

Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) at Washington Commanders – Monday

Rivals by proximity, for the majority of the Ravens’ tenure in Baltimore, they have been a much better team than the Washington Commanders. But Monday’s game might be rather spicey after the two teams get involved in multiple brawls this week at a joint practice.

Players are tired of hitting their teammates, they like hitting other teams, and that can lead to hot tempers. Although the body slam of Commanders’ corner Danny Johnson by Ravens tight end Mark Andrews went well beyond frayed tempers.

Watch the game because the Ravens never lose in the preseason. Enjoy the game because these two teams don’t like each other.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Preseason Week 2 Betting Preview

AFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on January 26, 2022

We are back with another NFL betting preview! There is absolutely no way that this weekend can match the excitement of the Divisional Round. Every single one of the four games ended with a walk-off win.

But as a consolation to not being the best weekend of football, this is the most important weekend of the season, with the winners on Sunday headed to Super Bowl LVI. Check out our AFC and NFC Championship betting previews below!

AFC Championship Betting Preview – Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7)

Both of these quarterbacks need the week off. Joe Burrow, in his last-second win over the Titans, was sacked nine times. He needs a week in a hot tub before he plays the Chiefs.

For Patrick Mahomes, he needs the week to return his heart rate back to normal. In the final two minutes and overtime of his last-second win over the Bills, there were 31 points scored, four lead changes, and Mahomes himself threw for 177 yards after the two-minute warning.

So can the Bengals, who have scored a total of 47 points in their two playoff games, keep up with the Chiefs, who have scored a total of 84 points in their two playoff games?

Fortunately, we don’t have to wonder. These teams played one another less than four weeks ago, and the Bengals did keep pace with Kansas City, actually winning 34-31 on a final-play field goal. You might remember that Ja’Marr Chase was incredible, going for 266 yards, and he has gone over 100 yards in each round of the playoffs.

Yes, the Bengals can keep pace with the Chiefs, and with a large seven-point spread, they will cover.

NFC Championship Betting Preview – San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)

This is another rematch from the regular season and another one where the visiting underdog was the winner the first time around. For the 49ers, it was actually two wins against the Rams this season, and if you want to go back even further, they’ve now won six-straight games against their Southern California rivals.

Because of that Week 18 win in Los Angeles that put San Francisco into the postseason, they have a longer winning streak. But heading into the NFC Championship, at least on the offensive side of the ball, they have the most question marks.

Jimmy Garoppolo did not play well against the Cowboys, and he did not play well against the Packers. Jimmy G has 303 yards passing, no touchdowns, and two interceptions in the playoffs, but amazingly the 49ers have been winning.

Matthew Stafford is playing great in L.A., with 568 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and the Rams offense is clicking in a way that will make it very tough for the 49ers on Sunday. Not only does L.A. win the game, but they also win it by at least a touchdown and cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogAFC and NFC Championship Betting Previews

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 15, 2021

Welcome to our NFL Week 15 Betting Picks! The NFL has moved into its Saturday game phase, so we are now treated to a full slate of NFL games all weekend long for the remainder of the regular season. More days of football is always a good thing, as are more days of football betting.

New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5)

It’s not that we’re not believers in the one-year turnaround in New England. The Patriots deserve their top spot in the AFC playoff seedings. We’re just big believers in the Colts at home, with Jonathan Taylor leading the way.

Both teams are coming off their bye, and are well-rested and as healthy as you can expect this late in the season. New England is also rolling. Their weather game in Buffalo was close, but their previous four wins were by 18, 38, 25, and 23 points.

But Saturday night is all about Taylor and if the Patriots can stop him. New England ranks 19th against the run, and in their last three games, they’ve given up 136.3 ypg. That is the opening Taylor needs, and that is why the Colts win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) at Denver Broncos

There are five teams in the AFC bunched up at 7-6, and only two of them are going to make the playoffs. These two teams would both like to be in that group, making Sunday’s game in Denver a must-win for both.

The Broncos did look good last week, but it was Detroit. The week before, when they were in Kansas City and playing for first place in the AFC West, they lost 22-9.

NFL Week 15 Betting Picks

The Bengals are coming off two straight losses at home, but Joe Burrow, despite his injured finger, is playing well. And when it comes to do-or-die football in late December, go with the better quarterback. Plus, the weather in Denver will be nice this weekend, leaving the Bengals offense to do its thing and win this game outright.

Green Bay Packers (-4.5) at Baltimore Ravens

As we just said with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, go with the better quarterback. And in Baltimore this weekend, despite these being the last two NFL MVPs, Aaron Rodgers is the better quarterback. And the healthiest.

Rodgers is rolling right now. Over his last three games, he has 1,033 yards, ten touchdown passes, and zero interceptions. Lamar Jackson has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and will be playing on a sprained ankle.

The Ravens look like a team completely out of gas. Green Bay looks like a team on a mission. Packers roll and win by 10 points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 15 Betting Picks

NFL Week 13 Betting Picks of the Week

by WagerHome Blog on December 1, 2021

Thanksgiving is behind us, December football is here, and the sprint to the end of the NFL regular season begins. Below are some of the best NFL Week 13 betting picks you can make this week!

Los Angeles Chargers at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)

One of the most compelling games of Week 13 is the Chargers at the Bengals. Justin Herbert vs. Joe Burrow. One team that’s a puzzle vs. one team figuring it out.

At one point, the Chargers were 4-1 and looking like the AFC’s best. Since then, they’ve lost four of six and just got manhandled by the Broncos. As good as Herbert is, his defense is the opposite. Against the run, they rank dead last in the NFL.

So forget about Burrow on Sunday because it’s all about Joe Mixon. He had 123 rushing yards two weeks ago, 165 last week (both wins), and he will have a third straight big day.

Mixon leads the Bengals to the win and the cover.

Indianapolis Colts (-9) at Houston Texans

The Texans did beat the Titans, but that says more about the Titans without their offensive stars and a league that can see anyone win if the ball bounces the right way.

Following that win, the Texans went out and lost to the Jets and looked like a team that, if not for the Lions, would be the worst in the NFL.

The Colts are coming off a loss to the Bucs, but that was against one of the Super Bowl favorites. And against a fairly good defense, they put up 31 points. This game is not against a fairly good defense, and Jonathan Taylor should run wild.

NFL Week 13 Betting Picks of the Week

Indianapolis may have lost the division last week, but they will win this week by at least two touchdowns.

Washington Football Team (+2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

It was a good and needed performance by the Raiders on Thanksgiving. Las Vegas had lost three straight games, and the last two by huge margins.

Meanwhile, Washington is riding a three-game winning streak. Yes, the last two came against the Panthers and Seahawks. But they covered both of those spreads, and those games came on the heels of their biggest win of the year, a 10-point victory over Tampa Bay.

The way to handle the Raiders is with your running backs. Joe Mixon rushed for 123 yards, and the Bengals won easily. Darrel Williams had 101 yards receiving out of the backfield, and the Chiefs won easily. And Washington has two very good running backs in Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic.

The two accounted for 202 total yards and two touchdowns last week. The week before, it was 145 yards and two scores. This week they have another big game, and Washington will cover for the fourth straight week.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 13 Betting Picks of the Week

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 3, 2021

When the dust settles on Monday night, we will officially be halfway done with the regular season. So let’s end the first half on a high note and hit on all of these bets for NFL Week 9.

New England Patriots (-4) at Carolina Panthers

The Patriots had been getting close, with almost victories against both the Buccaneers and the Cowboys. But little things were getting in the way, and we weren’t quite sure if they could figure out how to fix them.

Going into Los Angeles, beating the Chargers, and making Justin Herbert look nothing more than average is an excellent start. And coming on the heels of a 41-point drubbing of the Jets isn’t bad either.

The tale of the tape is this: Mac Jones is better than Sam Darnold, and as good as Carolina’s defense has played, New England’s is playing even better. Matt Rhule is also a good head coach, but Bill Belichick is still the master.

Patriots win this game by at least a touchdown. Take the Pats and lay the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

A two-game skid sandwiched around the bye week is not how the Chargers envisioned ending the month of October. They’ve gone from first place in the AFC West to fighting for the wild card lives. But there is simply too much talent on this team to believe this kind of play continues.

The losses to the Ravens and Patriots were bad, but the Eagles are also bad – not including their demolition of the Lions last week. Prior to the skid, the Chargers had covered three consecutive point spreads. Remove the Lions from the equation, and the Eagles have covered just three of seven games.

L.A. wins at Philadelphia by at least a touchdown.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)

Welcome to a world in which we expect the Bengals to win football games. Such is life when you have weapons like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Joe Mixon.

It’s because of this new world that we look at what happened to the Bengals last week against the Jets as an aberration and not a trend. The Titans lost to the Jets and have won four straight since. Cincinnati should also bounce back in a similar fashion, beginning this weekend against their Ohio rival.

Gone are the good feelings about last year’s playoff win over the Steelers. Last Sunday against Pittsburgh, it felt like the same old Browns. Cleveland is limited by injuries, and now Odell Beckham, Jr’s father, is going after Baker Mayfield on social media. It’s not going to help, either OBJ’s numbers or Mayfield’s play.

Cincinnati is simply the better team, and they will win on Sunday by at least a field goal.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 9 Betting Picks

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 20, 2021

We’ve had a change at the top of the AFC, with the Ravens now in the driver’s seat for the top seed. Meanwhile, the Cardinals keep winning in the NFC and are the unchallenged favorites.

As for the top bets that you should look at for NFL Week 7, here they are.

Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

Just as impressive as Green Bay’s five-game winning streak is the five straight games in which they have covered the spread. And in three of those games, they won by at least 10 points, which would be enough to cover this week too.

Meanwhile, Washington is an abysmal 1-5 against the spread this season and running back Antonio Gibson continues to get even more banged up.

It’s Packers all the way. They win by at least two touchdowns.

Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens were dominant last week, but most of their games have come down to the final play or two, and most are within one score. And in spite of a 5-1 record that leads the AFC, they are just 3-3 against the spread.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have had a margin of victory/defeat of exactly three points in four of their six games played – three-point losses to Chicago and Green Bay and three-point wins over Minnesota and Jacksonville.

This game will be close, and if not exactly three points, it will be less than seven. Look for Cincinnati to cover.

Philadelphia Eagles at Las Vegas Raiders (-3)

The Raiders avoided a three-game losing streak by easily handling their business at Denver. So to everyone who thought there would be a significant hangover following the departure of Jon Gruden, think again. Las Vegas played with freedom against the Broncos that we hadn’t seen before.

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

The Eagles played the Bucs tight and covered the spread. But Thursday games are always unpredictable. Prior to a win against Carolina the week earlier, the Eagles had failed to cover in three straight games. Raiders win this game by at least a touchdown. Take Vegas and lay the points.

Kansas City at Tennessee (Over 55)

The Chiefs did go under on Sunday against Washington, but that was because of some uncharacteristically good defense out of Kansas City. Offensively they did their part, scoring 31 points. Prior to that game, they had point totals of 58, 72, 54, 71, and 62.

They love going over, as do the Titans. Tennessee has hit three straight overs with 65, 56, and 51 points. It’s also worth noting that the two teams played twice in 2019, and they combined for 67 points in the regular season and 59 points in the AFC Championship Game.

Hammer this over.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 7 Betting Picks

NFL Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 14, 2021

We are starting to see the cream of the crop rise to the top, while other teams are seeing a once-promising season begin to slip away. Even with an extra week on the schedule, there are a number of great and important matchups in Week 6. Check out our NFL Week 6 Betting Picks below!

Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) at New York Giants

The Rams are 4-1 and just a game behind the first-place Cardinals. But if L.A. wants to catch Arizona, to whom they are already behind in the tiebreaker, they must win all the games they are supposed to win. That includes this week at the Giants, who are suddenly one of the most injured teams in the NFC.

Saquon Barkley is out with a sprained ankle, which is a blow considering how he was beginning to look like his old self after last year’s ACL tear. Quarterback Daniel Jones is in the NFL’s concussion protocol, and he is a big question mark for Sunday.

All of that is to say, look for the Rams to roll this week and win by two touchdowns.

Arizona Cardinals at Cleveland Browns (-3)

This is perhaps the game of the week, as the unbeaten Cardinals look to stay ahead of the Rams, and the Browns look to chase down the rolling Ravens.

The Cardinals aren’t just a great offensive team, although they are that. They have also played really good defense this year – except when it comes to stopping the run. The Cardinals rank 28th in rushing defense, while the Browns rank first in rushing offense.

That formula spells doom for the Cardinals’ unbeaten streak.

NFL Week 6 Betting PicksCleveland runs wild on Sunday, controls the tempo of this game, and covers the three-point spread.

Cincinnati Bengals at Detroit Lions (+3.5)

Even if you’re not a Lions fan, it has been painful to watch what has happened to them this season. A record-setting field goal that was just inches from being short beat them. Then last week, there was an incredible fourth quarterback comeback that featured a strip fumble to keep the Lions’ offense alive, then a gutsy two-point conversion call with 37 seconds on the clock to take the lead, but it was all undone by a 54-yard field goal to beat them.

If you saw the heartfelt and tear-fill postgame press conference by head coach Dan Campbell, it’s impossible not to root for this team.

At some point, they are going to get over the hump. It may not come this week against the Bengals. Detroit may fall to 0-6. But this team plays with heart, and they won’t lose by more than a field goal to Cincinnati. Take the Lions to cover.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 6 Betting Picks

Betting on Burrow: Time to Bet Bengals Win Total for 2020?

by WagerHome Blog on April 30, 2020

It’s not often that people are excited to bet on the Cincinnati Bengals. But after a good draft that saw them pick Joe Burrow as their new starting quarterback – as expected – there is a buzz with the Bengals that hasn’t been there in many years. So much buzz in fact that the over/under on their 2020 win total is now 6.0.

So is this a time to put money down on Cincinnati? Can the Heisman Trophy winner make that much of a difference and make the Bengals good buys for the 2020 season? The history on that is mixed, and the answer is far from certain.

Joe Burrow vs. Peyton Manning vs. Andrew Luck

The Indianapolis Colts have been in a position to grab franchise-saving quarterbacks with the first overall pick twice since 1998 in Peyton Manning out of Tennessee and Andrew Luck from Stanford.

The year prior to Manning’s selection, the Colts were 3-13. The year with Manning as their rookie quarterback, the Colts were also 3-13. So there was no improvement there, although in year 2, Manning led Indy to a 13-3 record.

For Luck, the improvement was far more immediate. The Colts were 2-14 before he was drafted and 11-5 in his rookie year. So big turnarounds can happen.

Joe Burrow vs. Baker Mayfield vs. Kyler Murray

Burrow’s selection marks the third straight season that a quarterback has gone first overall. In 2018 the Cleveland Browns selected Baker Mayfield, while in 2019, the Arizona Cardinals picked Kyler Murray. All three of them won the Heisman Trophy the year before their selection.

burrow

It’s worth noting that neither Mayfield or Murray were the sure things that Burrow is thought to be, but both did lead their teams to improved records. Mayfield only started 13 games in 2018, but the Browns improved in the win column by seven victories. Easier to do when you were 0-16 the year before, but still, that’s a very noticeable improvement.

Murray, for his part, improved the Cardinals from 3-13 to 5-10-1. So not as big a jump, but still noticeable.

Joe Burrow vs. Andy Dalton

One big difference in the Burrow selection is that the Bengals weren’t saddled last year with a terrible quarterback. Andy Dalton has never been exciting but has always been solid.

The Browns, Cardinals, and Colts didn’t have a competent NFL quarterback as their starter prior to drafting their young superstar. So just how much will Burrow move the needle in Cincinnati?

Oddsmakers say they’ll go from two to six wins. It’s a tall order, but definitely not impossible.

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WagerHome BlogBetting on Burrow: Time to Bet Bengals Win Total for 2020?