NFL Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 25, 2023

The biggest sporting event of the week is Thursday’s NFL Draft, which is expected to have more than 300,000 fans in attendance at Kansas City’s Union Station, and another 10-plus million people watching on television.

The Aaron Rodgers trade has been completed, and it will change things for Thursday and Friday. The two teams swap first round picks, giving Green Bay the No. 13 pick and the Jets the No. 15 pick.

The Packers also get a second round pick (No. 42), a sixth round pick (No. 207), and a second round pick in 2024 that will move to a first round pick if Rodgers plays 65% of the snaps.

Along with the QB in question, the Jets get Green Bay’s fifth round pick this year (No. 170).

With at least one big draft day trade off the table, the betting markets are heating up.

NFL Draft – First Overall Pick

  • Bryce Young (-2000)
  • C.J. Stroud (+900)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1500)

Alabama quarterback Bryce Young is now the heavy favorite to go No. 1 overall to Carolina. Just a couple of weeks ago, this was supposed to be a close race.

Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud is now playing +900, and Florida QB Anthony Richardson is third at +1500. No one else is a real possibility.

NFL Draft Betting Preview

NFL Draft – Second Overall Pick

  • Will Levis (-130)
  • Tyree Wilson (+240)
  • C.J. Stroud (+275)
  • Will Anderson (+285)
  • Anthony Richardson (+1800)

What is happening at No. 2, the pick currently owned by the Texans? There was talk that Houston would skip on a quarterback and take the best defensive player available, which was going to be Will Anderson from Alabama. But now Texas Tech EDGE Tyree Wilson is above him, and Kentucky quarterback Will Levis has somehow risen to the top.

NFL Draft – Third Overall Pick

  • C.J. Stroud (+230)
  • Tyree Wilson (+250)
  • Will Anderson (+250)
  • Paris Johnson Jr. (+350)
  • Anthony Richardson (+500)
  • Will Levis (+900)

The Arizona Cardinals currently own the No. 3 overall pick, so if Stroud really does go here, it is likely to be after a trade. But Arizona has a lot of needs, so Wilson, Anderson, or offensive tackle Paris Johnson Jr. would all make sense.

NFL Draft – Quarterbacks Taken in First Round

  • Over 4.5 (-200)
  • Under 4.5 (+250)

We can get to four first round quarterbacks quite easily, with Young, Stroud, Richardson, and Levis. If there is going to be a fifth quarterback taken, it would likely be Hendon Hooker from Tennessee or Tanner McKee from Stanford.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Draft Betting Preview

NCAA Football Week 1 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on August 30, 2022

NCAA football fans got a little taste of the season to come last weekend with a thriller in Dublin, Ireland, where Northwestern came from behind to beat Nebraska. Illinois, Florida State, and North Carolina all got easy wins, and Vanderbilt went out to Hawaii and got a 63-10 victory.

But that was only Week 0. This is now officially Week 1, and all 25 of the nation’s Top-25 teams are in action, beginning on Thursday at Oklahoma State and finishing up on Monday night with Clemson and Georgia Tech.

NCAA Football Week 1 Picks Against the Spread

West Virginia (+7.5) at No. 17 Pittsburgh – Thursday

This is the 105th playing of the Backyard Brawl, but just the first since 2011. So while history can’t tell us about these two specific sets of players, we do know that four of the last five meetings have been decided by four points or less.

It will be rocking in Pittsburgh, and the Panthers probably win this game, but they will fall short of covering the touchdown spread. Take the Mountaineers.

Colorado State at No. 8 Michigan (-30.5) – Saturday

Here are the numbers that matter to you. Last season Michigan was 11-3-0 against the spread and 5-1 when that spread was more than two touchdowns.

On the other side, Colorado State was just 4-8-0 against the spread, and they lost their final six games of the season ATS.

CSU is ranked right around 95 in the country. Michigan is eighth. This is going to be a bloodbath that has the Wolverines covering no later than the third quarter.

No. 11 Oregon (+17.5) at No. 3 Georgia – Saturday

Considering that the Bulldogs lost 15 players to the NFL this past season, putting them as more than a two-touchdown favorite against a very good Oregon team is quite the leap.

Georgia is still loaded with talent, but they are a far greater unknown than a lot of teams because of their huge roster turnover.

You may want to roll with the Bulldogs most of the NCAA season, but this week look for the Ducks to cover.

No. 5 Notre Dame at No. 2 Ohio State (-17) – Saturday

It’s another huge spread for a game that, on paper, looks much closer than 17 points. But we know what we have in Ohio State, and it’s an offense led by C.J. Stroud that is going to put up points at will.

Notre Dame’s situation is far less certain, and their key players – like quarterback Tyler Buchner – are far less experienced.

In November, you might take the Irish to cover this spread. Right out of the gate and in Columbus, look for the Buckeyes to cover.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 1 Betting Picks