NFL Week 5 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

We saw rookie quarterbacks play for the first time in NFL Week 4, with Bailey Zappe of the Patriots getting the first rookie touchdown pass of 2022. Kenny Pickett is now the starting quarterback in Pittsburgh, putting an end to the three-game era of Mitchell Trubisky.

We still have one unbeaten, the Eagles, but our 0-3 team, the Raiders, got its first win of the NFL season. The Chiefs reinserted themselves into the Super Bowl favorites conversation, and the 49ers did, too, with a dominant defensive performance against the Rams.

More on the Niners and Rams in our best picks for this coming NFL weekend.

New York Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay Packers

We start in London, where the Green Bay Packers are playing for the first time. They are the final of the NFL’s 32 teams to make the trip to England, and for the first time in the history of the London series, we have two winning teams playing each other.

The Giants are playing good defense, and Saquon Barkley is playing like a rushing champion, and the Packers don’t look like a team ready to win a blowout. New York keeps it close, meaning you should take the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills are much better offensively than the Steelers, and they are much better defensively. But the Bills aren’t playing their best football right now, and if rookie Kenny Pickett can protect the football, the Steelers should keep this margin at less than two touchdowns.

Buffalo is banged up, and the offense is out of sequence at the moment; and this is a huge spread for a team that has averaged just 21 points per game the last two weeks. Buffalo wins, but your money should go on Pittsburgh to cover.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) at Carolina Panthers

If there is a team that deserves a 14-point spread, it’s the Niners over the Panthers.

San Francisco’s defensive line just dominated a much better offense in the Rams, and they will have a field day against Baker Mayfield. Carolina, despite having great skill players, may not score in this game. The Niners’ defense is playing that well.

NFL

Add in Deebo Samuel at the height of his powers, and the Niners giving six points feels like a no-brainer.

Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Los Angeles Rams

That Rams offensive line that was just dominated by the 49ers now has to play Micah Parsons and the Dallas defense. Sean McVay is one of the best offensive schemers in the business, but he will not have an answer for Parsons, Demarcus Lawrence, Dante Fowler, and Dorance Armstrong.

If the Rams manage to win this NFL game, it will be a low-scoring win by a field goal. Take the Cowboys and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 5 Betting Picks

NFL Week 16 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 23, 2021

Welcome back to our NFL Week 16 betting picks! As we move into the final three weeks of the season, there are two things we’re focused on: Which teams have the most to play for and which teams are best equipped to survive positive COVID tests. Unfortunately, December of 2021 is looking a lot like the 2020 season, and rosters can take unexpected hits at any given moment.

So always check the latest COVID/reserve list before placing your NFL Week 16 betting picks.

Cleveland Browns at Green Bay Packers (-7)

We expect that Baker Mayfield will be back for the Browns for Saturday’s game in Green Bay. But the Browns are now 7-7 and on playoff life support. The Packers, on the other hand, have control of home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs, and Aaron Rodgers is playing some of the best football of his life.

The Packers have an extra day of rest, more to play for, and a quarterback looking like a back-to-back MVP. There won’t be a late-game meltdown to blow the point spread like last week at Baltimore. This week Green Bay wins by at least 10 points and covers the spread.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (+10.5)

The old narrative would read like this: Tom Brady is super angry about getting shut out on Sunday night, and like the Hulk, you don’t want to make Tom Brady angry.

That sentiment about Brady is real, but the injuries just suffered by the Bucs offense are also very real and far more relevant. The simple fact is when Chris Godwin and Leonard Fournette are not in the lineup, this offense struggles. Remove Mike Evans, who we won’t know about until closer to kick-off, and points will be at a premium.

NFL Week 16 Betting Picks

The Panthers have a good defense, and they will be able to slow an already slowed Tampa Bay offense enough to keep the final score to within 10 points. The Bucs will win but take the Panthers and the points.

Los Angeles Chargers (-9) at Houston Texans

Another team that’s angry heading into Week 16 is the Los Angeles Chargers, who are just a fourth-down conversion away from being in the first place. Instead, they are most likely going to finish no better than second place, leaving them in the jumbled mess of the AFC wild-card race.

Winning at Houston keeps the Chargers clear of the teams currently out of the playoffs, like Baltimore and Pittsburgh, and helps them keep pace with the Colts and Bills. Winning big at Houston will help soothe the soul after losing in overtime to the Chiefs, and that is what will happen.

Take the Chargers and give the points.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 16 Betting Picks