NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 21, 2022

Rivalry week is upon us, and for the first time since 2006, we’re going to get Michigan-Ohio State with both teams undefeated. The stakes for the Big Ten, the NCAA Football Playoff, and the rivalry to end all rivalries, is enormous.

One of the strangest NCAA football results of last weekend was Tennessee, not just getting upset by unranked South Carolina, but getting blown out. Their hopes of sneaking into the CFP are now over, and the injury to quarterback Hendon Hooker has ended his season.

No. 3 Michigan (+7.5) at No. 2 Ohio State

For the 13th time in the history of THE Game, Michigan and Ohio State are both ranked in the top five. This is the 26th time they have both been in the top 10 and the 49th time both have been ranked. There simply is no college football rivalry in America that compares.

Neither team excelled in their tune-up NCAA football games, but the Buckeyes, at home, are the most likely of the two to go back to normal. But will a Michigan defense allowing just 12 points per game in the Big Ten really lose by more than a touchdown? No. OSU wins, but the Wolverines cover.

Auburn (+21.5) at No. 8 Alabama

There is no path for Alabama to make it into the College Football Playoff, so they are just going to have to settle for beating their in-state rival this Saturday. And it’s something they enjoy doing. Alabama has won the last two Iron Bowls, six of the last eight, and they will win this one.

NCAA Football Week 13 Betting Picks

But the Tide hasn’t covered a point spread since October, and they won’t cover here either. Take the Tigers and the points.

No. 13 Notre Dame at No. 5 USC (-5.5)

Thanks to Michigan and Ohio State, we know that one of the top four teams is going to lose on Saturday. And there is USC, poised to take the loser’s spot and play their way into the NCAA Football Playoff.

Step One in that plan is to beat the rival Irish from Notre Dame, which they will do by more than a touchdown.

Kansas at No. 15 Kansas State (-12)

After a 5-0 start, the Kansas Jayhawks season has gone south. They are bowl eligible, but they have lost five of their last six NCAA football games. You know what would end the season on a high note? Beating their Kansas State rivals and keeping the Wildcats out of the Big 12 Championship.

It would be a great end to KU’s season, but their last four losses have all been by double digits, and K-State has everything to play for. The Wildcats win and cover and move on to the Big 12 Championship against TCU.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 13 Betting Picks
NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 1, 2022

The first NCAA Football Playoff Top-25 came out on Tuesday, but between now and when the CFP actually kicks off, we’re going to see plenty of great games that could completely change the landscape.

Georgia gets Tennessee this week, and Kentucky will be tough. Ohio State and Michigan still loom on Thanksgiving weekend. And even though they are trailing in the standings, you can never count out Nick Saban and Alabama.

No. 2 Tennessee at No. 1 Georgia (O 65.5)

The game of the week, the game of the year, as the Tennessee Volunteers are back, now tied for the second ranking in the nation as they go to Georgia to face the No. 1 ranked Bulldogs.

The Tennessee resume is more impressive than Georgia’s, with wins over Alabama and LSU. The Bulldogs beat Oregon back in NCAA Week 1, but so much has happened since that Saturday, and there has been so much great offense from both of these NCAA teams.

It’s a tough call on Georgia as 8-point favorites, but the Over/Under feels like an obvious call. Take the over at 65.5 and sit back and enjoy the fireworks.

No. 6 Alabama at No. 15 LSU (+13)

The Alabama defense overwhelmed Mississippi State last week in their 30-6 win. The hangover of their near loss to Texas A&M and the actual loss to Tennessee still hangs over the Crimson Tide.

NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks

It’s why they are on the outside of the College Football Playoff top-four and now facing must-wins each week, beginning with this Saturday’s trip to Baton Rouge. Alabama is better, and Alabama will probably win, but LSU is playing well enough to cover the 13-point spread.

No. 5 Clemson at Notre Dame (+4.5)

After a pair of one-score wins for the ACC’s first-place Clemson Tigers, now they face the Jekyll and Hyde Notre Dame Fighting Irish. They have really bad losses this season to Marshall and Stanford, and really good wins, like last week at Syracuse.

The last time we saw Clemson was two weeks ago; they were changing quarterbacks in the middle of a tight win over Syracuse. With an unsettled quarterback position and a very good Notre Dame defense, take the points in South Bend.

No. 8 Oregon (-31.5) at Colorado

It doesn’t get much worse than the Colorado Buffaloes in NCAA football. They are bottom-10 in the nation in both offense and defense, and they are light years away from the current Pac-12 leader Oregon.

The Ducks only have one win of over 31 points this season, but Colorado has three losses by at least that much, and Oregon is the best team they will face all season. Give the points and take Oregon.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 10 Betting Picks
NCAA

NCAA Football Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 18, 2022

For the first time since 2006, the Tennessee Volunteers got a win over Alabama. The Vols won on a final second field goal 52-49, and it gave Tennessee four wins over NCAA teams that were ranked when the Vols beat them. Tennessee is now No. 3 in the country.

Alabama falls to No. 6, their lowest ranking since the end of the 2019 season, while Georgia and Ohio State stay put at No. 1 and No. 2.

Each Saturday in NCAA football, we have championship-level matchups, and this week is no different.

No. 14 Syracuse at No. 5 Clemson (Under 51.1)

It’s 7-0 Clemson hosting 6-0 Syracuse, and we have two of the best defenses in the country going at it in this one.

Florida State gave a bit of a blueprint last week in how to run against Clemson, and that is likely to become the Syracuse plan. Run the ball, work the clock, and keep the Tiger offense on the sideline. And that is why the UNDER in this game is a really attractive NCAA football bet.

No. 24 Mississippi State (+21.5) at No. 6 Alabama

After nearly losing to Texas A&M and actually losing to Tennessee, we’re not quite sure what we’re going to get from Alabama. Bryce Young wasn’t fully healthy last week, but he was fantastic against the Vols. But the Crimson Tide defense was very concerning.

The Bulldogs score a lot of points, except when they lose. They had 16 against LSU and 17 last week at Kentucky but have scored 40 points in four of their five wins.

This offense is good enough to find the end zone against Alabama repeatedly, and they should cover the 21.5-point NCAA football spread.

NCAA

No. 17 Kansas State at No. 8 TCU (-3.5)

Following TCU’s huge win over Oklahoma State, the expectations for the Horned Frogs are also huge. They have won three straight against ranked NCAA opponents, and they have a chance to make it four in a row with Kansas State coming to town.

K-State plays good defense, but TCU plays great offense, averaging more than 526 yards per game. Quarterback Max Duggan will continue his great season, and he will keep TCU perfect on the year and cover the spread.

No. 9 UCLA (+6) at No. 10 Oregon

No one predicted that UCLA would begin the season 6-0, and a month ago, it was unfathomable to think they could win at Oregon. Yet here we are.

The Bruins have a great offense (as does Oregon), and after wins over Washington and Utah, UCLA will keep this game close. Even if they don’t win, they will cover the 6-point spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 8 Betting Picks
NCAA

NCAA Football Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 11, 2022

Georgia had a near-miss in NCAA Week 5, and it dropped them out of the No. 1 ranking. In NCAA Week 6, the near-miss belonged to Alabama, and they, too, dropped out of the No. 1 ranking, putting Georgia back in the top spot.

Great team performances abound, as do great individual efforts. Pittsburgh’s Israel Abanikanda ran for 320 yards and six touchdowns, tying the ACC single-game record.

Also accounting for six touchdowns was Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud, who moved the Buckeyes into the No. 2 ranking with a big 49-20 win over Michigan State.

No. 3 Alabama at No. 6 Tennessee (+7.5)

We begin our slate of games with the displaced Alabama Crimson Tide going to Knoxville to take on the high-scoring offense of the Tennessee Volunteers. The Vols are scoring more than 46 points per game on the back of quarterback Hendon Hooker, and he and this offense will keep scoring against Alabama.

Nick Saban is hopeful that Bryce Young can play, but just how effective will he be? Alabama is likely to win this NCAA game, but Tennessee has the offense to keep it close and to cover the spread.

NCAA

No. 10 Penn State (+7) at No. 5 Michigan

Two years ago, Penn State got the win at Michigan Stadium, but two years ago, Jim Harbaugh’s crew wasn’t at the top of the Big Ten. They are now, with the defending conference champs 3-0 in the Big Ten, even if they did just fail to cover the spread at Indiana.

Penn State hasn’t covered for two straight, looking uninspired in wins against Central Michigan and Northwestern. But this is Michigan, and they will get up for this one, the first of a tough gauntlet that has them playing Michigan, Minnesota, and Ohio State.

Penn State is up for it, and they will cover, even as the Wolverines hold on to win the game.

No. 8 Oklahoma State (+3.5) at No. 13 TCU

TCU nearly came up short last week at Kansas, needing late-game heroics to get past the Jayhawks and their backup quarterback. But they won, and they pushed against the spread – their first non-win against the spread this NCAA season.

Oklahoma State is easily the toughest test of the NCAA season for the Frogs, but they come into this game as underdogs, and that’s why we like them. They were dogs against Baylor, and the Cowboys won outright. And while we’re going to stop short of predicting a win on the moneyline for Oklahoma State, we do like them and the points.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 7 Betting Picks
NCAA Football

NCAA Football Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

Two more college football coaches lost their jobs after losses in Week 5. Paul Chryst was in his eighth NCAA football season in Wisconsin, but his 34-10 loss at home to Illinois was too much for athletic director Chris McIntosh. Defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard will serve as the interim head coach.

In Colorado, it was an 0-5 start that cost Karl Dorrell his job. The Buffs lost to Arizona on Saturday and are just 4-13 since the beginning of last season. Offensive coordinator Mike Samford will take over on an interim basis.

On the field, we have a new No. 1, if you can consider Alabama as “new” at the top of the rankings. Georgia fell to No. 2 after nearly losing to unranked Missouri.

Auburn (+29.5) at No. 2 Georgia

Georgia has huge wins over Oregon and South Carolina and now narrow wins over Kent State and Missouri. So do you trust them to play over the competition of Auburn when that hasn’t been what the Bulldogs are doing?

Not against freshman quarterback Robby Ashford, who moved the ball well against LSU last week, and he will do the same at Georgia. Take Auburn to cover.

No. 8 Tennessee (-2.5) at No. 25 LSU

New to the Top-25 is LSU after their comeback win over Auburn, and the Football Power Index lists the Tigers as a top-10 team overall. The AP voters clearly lean heavily in favor of Tennessee, ranking them No. 8 in the nation.

The voters are right in this one, and in a shootout, the Vols should win by at least a touchdown, covering the modest 2.5-point spread.

No. 17 TCU at No. 19 Kansas (Over 67.5)

From a projected three wins to a 5-0 start for the Jayhawks has them as one of the better stories of the NCAA football season. But how long can Kansas keep winning?

TCU did hammer Oklahoma, 55-24, but they also struggled with SMU, and it’s probably true that Oklahoma isn’t that good. Kansas is, averaging 38 points per game, just a touchdown behind the Horned Frogs and their 45 points a game.

And that’s what we like – two teams who could both score over 40 points, making OVER 67.5 the preferred NCAA football bet in Lawrence.

No. 11 Utah (-3.5) at No. 18 UCLA

UCLA is 5-0 and now faces what is easily its toughest test of the young season when they host Utah.

The Utes average 42 points per game while giving up just 14.4 points, and that’s the difference here. The Bruins have a great offense, but only a good defense, and Utah will end the UCLA winning streak and cover this NCAA football spread.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football Week 6 Betting Picks
College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2021

It has been an unusual bowl season to be sure, with teams pulling out, replacement teams being found, and some bowls just outright canceled.

However, two games this Friday that we know will be played are the College Football Playoff Semifinals, taking place in Dallas and Miami.

Cotton Bowl – No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Cincinnati (+13.5)

Alabama was an eyelash away from losing its final regular season game and not even making it to this point. But they won that game in the closing seconds, and then by virtue of their win over Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, they are the No. 1 ranked team heading into the CFP.

They certainly look like the better team when compared to the Bearcats, but are they two touchdowns better?

Cincinnati finished hot, beating the spread in its final three games. But before that, they went four straight without covering and only beat Navy and Tulsa by one score. Their overall strength of schedule ranks 45th; Alabama’s is first.

Bryce Young is fantastic, and if the Heisman winner duplicates his play from the SEC title game, Alabama cruises. But the Bearcats are physical up front, and Desmond Ridder is also a talented quarterback.

College Football playoffs

Heisman winning quarterback Bryce Young and the Alabama Crimson Tide take on Cincinnati in the Collège Football playoffs.

Alabama wins, but Cincinnati keeps it under 10 points.

Orange Bowl – No 2. Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5)

 

Instead of pining for the game they could have had against Cincinnati, had Michigan not been passed over by Alabama, they are preparing to take on the team that was No. 1 in the nation for most of the season, Georgia.

The Bulldogs are the favorite because of just how great they looked from September through November, beating FBS teams by an average margin of victory of 32 points.

They did get run out of the building by Alabama, but Michigan doesn’t have an offense nearly as potent as what Georgia just faced, and that’s why the Bulldogs are favored to win by more than a touchdown.

The Wolverines counter their own great defense that hammered both Ohio State and Iowa to win the Big Ten. But the Michigan defense, while great, is a tick below that of Georgia. 

Michigan has two great running backs in Hassan Haskins and Blake Corum, but just how good can they be against Georgia? Quarterback Cade McNamara has been solid down the stretch, but he can’t take over games.

Georgia will simply be too much for Michigan, and they will cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogCollege Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl and Orange Bowl Betting Previews
Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 6, 2021

Hello darkness, my old friend…

For those of you (us) that thought finally we were going to avoid having to watch Alabama in the College Football Playoff, not so fast. ‘Bama is back in the CFP for the seventh time in eight seasons on the strength of a dominating win over Georgia to win the SEC.

The win was good enough, and Nick Saban’s history is decorated enough for the Crimson Tide to be the favorite to win the National Championship.

  • Alabama (+120)
  • Georgia (+140)
  • Michigan (+700)
  • Cincinnati (+1600)

Alabama has the best coach in the country, regularly the best roster in the country, and has quarterback Bryce Young, who is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. Even though this was a disappointing season by Tuscaloosa standards, they are the favorite, and it’s easy to see why.

No. 1 Alabama (-14) vs. No. 4 Cincinnati – Cotton Bowl

The four teams that made it in did it without controversy. But the seeding of the four teams is not without argument. As good as Cincinnati has been this season, everyone wanted to be seeded first so they could play the Bearcats.

Alabama gets that honor, jumping from No. 3 to No. 1 because of their win over Georgia. As selection committee chair Gary Barta explained, “Not only did Alabama beat Georgia – the way they beat them. They controlled the game, pretty much from start to finish.”

Couldn’t Barta say the same thing about Michigan, who Alabama leapfrogged? In fact, you could say it, but without the “pretty much,” because Michigan’s 42-3 was every bit start to finish dominating win.

Saying that Alabama’s one win was more impressive than Michigan’s last two wins is questionable, but that’s what the committee did, and the Tide gets Cincinnati in the semifinal. However, they will have to do it without star wide receiver John Metchie III, who is out with a significant ACL injury.

No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 Georgia (-7.5) – Orange Bowl

If there was one knock on Georgia, it was wins over quality teams. They played lots of great football this season, but their schedule was without any top-10 teams. Until they faced No. 3 Alabama, and that didn’t go so well.

Now they get a team that has dominating wins over a pair of top-10 teams, Wisconsin and Ohio State. And Michigan just won the Big Ten with a blowout over Iowa, 42-3.

Early College Football Playoff Betting Picks

But we know that Georgia is still really good. Michigan still has Jim Harbaugh as its head coach, and his ability to win big games is still in doubt. And being runner-up in the SEC is still considered just as good as winning most other conferences.

And for all of those reasons, Georgia is more than a touchdown favorite to win their semifinal and set up a rematch with Alabama in the Championship Game.

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WagerHome BlogEarly College Football Playoff Betting Picks
NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2021

In Week 7, we watched No. 2 Iowa suffer a stunning loss to Purdue. Alabama is back after losing to Texas A&M, as they easily handled Mississippi State. And Oklahoma has a star in the making in freshman quarterback Calen Williams, who got another big Sooners win.

It’s now Week 8, and the best college football betting continues. Check out our best NCAA Week 8 college football bets below.

Tennessee at Alabama (-27.5)

Beware an angry Nick Saban. Finishing undefeated and playing for a national championship feels to Saban like a birthright, which is why the loss to Texas A&M back on October 9th was so hard for him to take.

Enter last week, where he took a 17.5-point spread against Mississippi State and turned it into a 40-point win. And this week, he’s now supposed to beat Tennessee by four touchdowns, and you would be foolish to bet against him.

The Volunteers have covered three of six games this year, and they’ve won four games by at least 25 points. But this week, it’s going to be a big loss in Tuscaloosa. The Tide will cover.

Northwestern at Michigan (-21.5)

It’s been quite some time since Michigan played a blowout win. In their first three games, the Wolverines won by an average margin of victory of 35 points. In their last three, the average margin of victory is 10. Although they covered in the last two games, with wins over Wisconsin and Nebraska.

One of those wins for Michigan was at Nebraska, a team that beat Northwestern by 49. This week’s Michigan win isn’t going to be by that seven-touchdown margin, but it will eclipse the three-touchdown margin of the current point spread.

Michigan rolls against the Wildcats and wins this game by more than 28 points. Bet on them to cover the spread.

NCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

Cincinnati (-28.0) at Navy

Cincinnati is 6-0 on the season and 5-1 against the spread, including a 2-0 mark ATS when going on the road. That includes a 10-point cover at Indiana and an 8.5-point cover at Notre Dame. The Bearcats have climbed to the No. 2 ranking in the country, and as much as it was a longshot when the season began, this team is making a solid claim for a playoff spot.

There is only one more ranked team on the schedule, and it isn’t Navy. Cincinnati needs impressive wins, and that requires a cover against the Midshipmen, who just lost by 18 to Memphis. The Bearcats get it done and continue to justify their high national ranking.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Week 8 Best College Football Bets

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