NBA

NBA Championship Odds

by WagerHome Blog on February 16, 2023

As we head into the NBA’s All-Star weekend, it is the perfect time to check in and see who are the current betting favorites to win the NBA Finals in June.

Boston Celtics (+270)

The favorite to win the title is the best team in the Eastern Conference, the Boston Celtics. They have the best depth in the league, Jayson Tatum is having a career-year with more than 30 points scored per game, and Marcus Smart came back on Wednesday from an ankle injury and was immediately his usual great defensive self.

The break is needed with the Celtics nursing a few injuries, but this is a team built to win a title.

Milwaukee Bucks (+410)

Two years ago, the Bucks were champions, beating the Suns in six games. Still around from the team is of course one of the best players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo, as well as Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez – their three leading scorers this season.

The wildcard is Khris Middleton, who has twice missed long stretches this season because of injury. He was critical to the Bucks’ championship run, and they need him to stay healthy if they hope to get to the Finals again this year.

Phoenix Suns (+500)

The Suns were the best regular season team a year ago, but they were bounced in the conference semifinals by the Dallas Mavericks. Of course, that roster did not include Kevin Durant, and this year’s roster does. Adding him at the trade deadline to Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Deandre Booker, and Mikal Bridges has the fans in Arizona expecting a better playoffs in 2023.

Denver Nuggets (+750)

NBA

Nikola Jokic is a heavy favorite to win yet another MVP award. It would be his third in a row if he does in fact win it. So far, however, his personal dominance has yet to work out for the Nuggets. They made the conference semis when Jokic won the award in 2021, but were knocked out in the first round last year in his MVP repeat season.

This Nuggets team does have the best record in the West heading into the All-Star break, so maybe this postseason will be different.

Los Angeles Clippers (+1200)

Still, in search of their first-ever trip to the NBA Finals, the Clippers are paying the fifth shortest odds on winning the NBA title. That’s quite high on the odds board, considering that the Clippers are only fifth in the Western Conference and unlikely to climb any higher than third.

It all comes down to health for this team. If Paul George and Kawhi Leonard are healthy in the playoffs, they could be dangerous. If they aren’t healthy, the Clippers have no shot.

Pay Per Head Software

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WM Phoenix

WM Phoenix Open Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on February 7, 2023

It may only be the second biggest sporting event in the WM Phoenix area this weekend, but the crowds at the WM Phoenix Open are likely to be the most lively in the state. While the corporate crowds of the Super Bowl will gather in Glendale, Arizona, on the other side of town up to 300,000 fans will turn TPC Scottsdale into a loud and raucous four days on the course.

WM Phoenix is one of the PGA Tour’s favorite stops, because of the crowds, and also because of the golf. Five of the last seven tournaments here had to go to a playoff before a winner was decided.

Odds to Win WM Phoenix Open

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Jon Rahm (+800)
Cameron Smith (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1400)
Jordan Spieth (+1500)
Justin Thomas (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1800)
Tony Finau (+2000)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)

Rory McIlroy makes his first stop on the PGA Tour in the new calendar year. He has played this event once in the past, in 2021, and he finished 13th that year at -13. McIlroy is the number one ranked golfer in the world.

Spain’s Jon Rahm is ranked third in the world, and his 2023 is off to a great start. In January, he won at both the Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express at PGA West. He finished the month at the Farmer’s Insurance at Torrey Pines with a seventh-place finish.

Scottie Scheffler is the defending champion at this event. Last year’s win in Scottsdale was the first Tour win of his career, and it launched an unforgettable year. He won four times in 2022, including at The Masters in April. He finished T2 at the U.S. Open, was ranked No. 1 in the world, and he won the Jack Nicklaus Award, given to the PGA Tour’s golfer of the year.

Good Value Bets

Hideki Matsuyama (+3300) loves playing at WM Phoenix. He was a runner-up in 2015, and then he won back-to-back in 2016 and 2017. He was also a top-10 finisher here in 2022.

Brooks Koepka (+3500) is also a two-time winner at this event. He beat Matsuyama by a stroke in 2015, and was a single-stroke winner in 2021. When he won at the WM Phoenix Open in 2021 he was +5000 when the tournament began. He was +4000 the first time he won.

If you are looking for a longshot to play, Keegan Bradley (+12500) is worth a look. He was a runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open two weeks ago, following up on a strong finish to 2022 when he was T5 at the Sanderson Farms Championship and the winner at the Zozo Championship.

Pay Per Head Software

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NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

NFL Betting Championship Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on January 25, 2023

We had 272 regular season games, there have been ten postseason games, and we are now down to three games left. Two of those three are this Sunday, giving the NFL bettors one last weekend to wager on multiple games.

San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

The first game on Sunday is for the NFC Championship. This is the third trip to this game in four years for the 49ers, and this is the Eagle’s first NFC Championship appearance since they won the Super Bowl five years ago.

These are the two best teams in the NFC, and this is the matchup that most NFL fans have been hoping to see since the 49ers began their 12-game winning streak. San Francisco has the best scoring defense in the NFL. The Eagles are eighth. The Eagles have the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, while the 49ers are sixth.

On both sides of the ball, it is strength on strength, and on the sidelines, we have two of the finalists for NFL Coach of the Year. In two years, Nick Sirianni has taken the four-win Eagles to a 14-win team that is one win from the Super Bowl. Kyle Shanahan twice lost his starting quarterback this season but has his team one win from their second Super Bowl appearance in four years.

This is going to be a classic game between two teams playing at their peaks. But the edge has to go to Philadelphia because quarterback Jalen Hurts played like an MVP. Brock Purdy is just making the ninth start of his career.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (+1.5)

The Chiefs avoided total disaster with the injury to Patrick Mahomes in the Divisional Round. It looked like the kind of tackle that resulted in a broken leg. Instead, it was just sprained ankle, albeit of the high ankle sprain variety, which is the most serious of sprained ankles.

Patrick Mahomes will play this Sunday against the Bengals in the rematch of last year’s AFC Championship, won by Cincinnati in overtime. But he will be far less mobile than normal and not quite the Mahomes we’re used to seeing. And this is where having Andy Reid as your head coach is so valuable. If anyone can create a game plan that succeeds with Mahomes staying in the pocket, it is Reid.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals rolled to victory over the Bills last week and are playing excellent football. But the offensive line is banged up, and the Chiefs finished second in the NFL in sacks this season. Where Buffalo failed, the Chiefs will succeed, and Burrow will face just enough pressure to open the door for Kansas City to avenge last year’s loss.

Pay Per Head Software

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Super Bowl

Super Bowl LVII MVP Odds

by WagerHome Blog on January 24, 2023

We won’t know the teams playing in the Super Bowl until around 9:30pm ET on Sunday. But you can currently place wagers on which player will win the Super Bowl MVP, not to be decided until February 12.

Not surprisingly, the four starting quarterbacks lead the way.

Joe Burrow (+330)

Current betting odds have the Eagles as the slight favorites to win the Super Bowl, but the Super Bowl MVP odds lean slightly in favor of Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow. He is favored to win this Sunday against the Chiefs, and if he is in the Super Bowl, he will be the only quarterback in the game who has been there before.

Jalen Hurts (+350)

 

Super Bowl

His Eagles are favored to beat the 49ers and go to the Super Bowl, and Jalen Hurts is a 2nd Team All-Pro selection. So naturally he would be right on the heels of Burrow as the favorite to win the Super Bowl MVP. And if not for an injury over the final three weeks of the season, he very well could have been the season’s MVP.

Patrick Mahomes +350

Patrick Mahomes is the presumptive MVP after leading the league in passing yards, total yards, passing touchdowns, and total touchdowns. He’s a 1st Team All-Pro for the second time in his career, and he has previously won a Super Bowl MVP.

If the Chiefs win the Super Bowl, it’s hard to envision a scenario where he doesn’t win the award.

Brock Purdy +750

Niners rookie quarterback Brock Purdy the lowest rated of the four starting quarterbacks because he is the rookie, and the 49ers have so many other possible MVP candidates. Six of the last 10 SB MVPs have been quarterbacks, so Purdy would be the most likely candidate in a San Francisco win. But of all of the four teams, they have the most “other” possibilities.

Non-Quarterback Leaders

The other 49ers that aren’t quarterbacks who might be a Super Bowl MVPs are led by Christian McCaffrey at +1500. He has the shortest odds of everyone who isn’t one of the four starting quarterbacks.

Behind McCaffrey are the best pass catches on each of the four teams: Ja’Marr Chase (+2000), Travis Kelce (+2500), Deebo Samuel (+2800), and A.J. Brown (+3000).

Defensive Leaders

The last defensive player to win Super Bowl MVP was Von Miller in Super Bowl 50. Two years before that, Seahawks linebacker Malcolm Smith won the award, but those two are the defensive players to win in the last 20 years.

Nick Bosa has the shortest odds of any defensive player in this year’s final four at +4000. The only other defensive player within shouting distance is the Chiefs Chris Jones, paying +6000.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogSuper Bowl LVII MVP Odds
Quarterbacks

Where Will the Quarterbacks Go?

by WagerHome Blog on January 19, 2023

The NFL isn’t just from August to February, and the betting on the NFL isn’t limited to just the games on the field. The most important position in sports is quarterback, and with a number of quarterbacks hitting the free agent market this offseason, you can wager on where they will play next season.

Lamar Jackson

The Ravens and Lamar Jackson appear to be headed for a split. Jackson didn’t travel to Cincinnati for the team’s playoff game, even though he was there just one week earlier for the final regular season game. And head coach John Harbaugh has continued to treat the injury to his star as an annoyance.

The franchise tag is still in play, but if Jackson doesn’t play in Baltimore next season, where do the betting odds say he is most likely to go?

New York Jets (+250)
Atlanta Falcons (+350)
Las Vegas Raiders (+750)
Carolina Panthers (+750)

The most intriguing of these is the Atlanta Falcons, who have an offense already built around running quarterback in Marcus Mariota. Jackon to Atlanta would make them the favorites to win the NFC South.

Tom Brady

Quarterbacks
Most people close to Tom Brady think that he will put off retirement for at least another season. They also believe that quarterback Brady and the Buccaneers are likely moving on from one another after a disappointing end to a disappointing season. Where could the GOAT end up in 2023?

Las Vegas Raiders (+250)
New York Jets (+350)
New England Patriots (+500)
Miami Dolphins (+600)
San Francisco 49ers (+700)

Brady’s old offensive coordinator is now the head coach in Las Vegas, and the Jets have said that they are prepared to go all-in on bringing in a veteran quarterback. As places where Brady could win, both the Raiders and Jets make sense. And as a Jets quarterback, he would get to match wits with Bill Belichick twice next season.

Aaron Rodgers

We may have seen the end of Aaron Rodgers in a Green Bay Packers uniform. Either by retirement, or by moving to another team, he certainly is sounding like someone who is tired of playing for the Packers. He said this week that he thinks he can win another MVP award if he is in the right situation. Where might that be?

Las Vegas Raiders (+400)
New York Jets (+500)
Indianapolis Colts (+500)
Tennessee Titans (+500)

With Derek Carr on the way out in Las Vegas, reuniting Rodgers with Davante Adams makes a lot of sense. Rodgers will want a place with established weapons, like Adams and tight-end Darren Waller. He would also find that same with the Jets with rookie Garrett Wilson. Although with Brett Favre having gone from the Packers to the Jets, would Rodgers want to follow those same footsteps?

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogWhere Will the Quarterbacks Go?

NFL Wild Card Weekend Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 10, 2023

The NFL regular season is behind us and now the path to Super Bowl LVII begins with all eyes on State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on the second Sunday in February. Over the next three weekends the NFL will whittle down from 14 playoff teams to two Super Bowl contestants.

The playoffs begin this weekend with six games, spread out over three days for Wild Card Weekend. Four of the six home teams are favorites this weekend, with the two Florida teams Tampa Bay and Jacksonville, as underdogs.

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5)

The first game of the weekend could be the biggest mismatch in the NFC. Seattle was the last team in, and they needed help as Detroit beat Green Bay in the last game of the regular season. Their reward is a trip to face NFC West rival, San Francisco, quite possibly the hottest team in the NFL.

The 49ers beat Seattle twice this season, 27-7 at home in Week 2 and 21-13 on the road in Week 15. San Francisco has won 10 in a row and despite a rookie third-string quarterback in Brock Purdy, they are thriving. A lights-out defense and multiple playmakers like Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle lead the Niners to a cover.

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1)

The Jaguars are one of the two home underdogs, as they won the AFC South on Saturday with a late defensive touchdown. The Chargers have been up and down all season, mostly because of key injuries, but they have won four of their last five to make the playoffs.

Jacksonville has won five in a row, and they throttled the Chargers 38-10 on the road back in September. Don’t be surprised if Trevor Lawrence and his young crew pull off the upset and move on.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-9.5)

No offense to the Miami Dolphins, but they have no chance in this game. The atmosphere in Buffalo is going to be insane, the temperature is going to be in the low 20’s with snow possible, and if Damar Hamlin makes an appearance to inspire the Bills, this one will get out of hand early.

Buffalo could become America’s team this month. Look for a big cover against a team they split with in the regular season.

New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-3)

NFL

Another regular season rematch as the Giants head to Minnesota. The Vikings needed a last-second 61-yard field goal to beat New York on Dec. 17. The Giants put 445 yards on the Minnesota defense that has allowed at least 24 points in four of the last five games.

Minnesota is 11-0 in one-score games, but they have a horrible playoff history, even at home. Take the points with the visiting Giants.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5)

Another division rivalry with a third game of the season in the playoffs. The Ravens won at home in October 19-17, while the Bengals won at home last week 27-16 to clinch the division. Joe Burrow and company are ready to prove last year wasn’t a fluke, and their path back to the Super Bowl starts with a team they know very well.

Betting on this game all revolves around the health of Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson. If he is playing, the line will likely come down, and if not, the Bengals roll.

Dallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5)

Tampa Bay started the season with a win in Dallas, 19-3 as Dak Prescott was injured. The Cowboys are limping into the playoffs with a loss to Washington, and Prescott has thrown 15 interceptions on the season, despite missing five games.

When it all comes down to it are you betting against Tom Brady, at home, in the playoffs? No chance. Take the points and the Bucs against a Cowboys team that has plenty left to prove.

Pay Per Head Software

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Football

NCAA Football National Title Game Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on January 6, 2023

Nearly five months after the college football season began, there’s just one game left to play, the National Championship game. The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs are on a mission to repeat after their late rally against Ohio State in the semifinals. The No. 3 TCU Horned Frogs stand in their way after upsetting Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl.

Monday’s National football Championship Game will be played at a neutral site in Los Angeles, at SoFi Stadium. With a spread of 13.5 points in favor of Georgia, this game has one of the largest spreads in recent title games.

TCU on Upset Run

The Horned Frogs began the season unranked and with better than 1500-1 odds to win the football title. A win on Monday would go down as one of the biggest upsets in college football history and rival the largest preseason underdogs to win a title in any sport.

To keep their run going, TCU has to find a way to force turnovers like they did against Michigan. A blocked kick, fumble recovery or pick-six can flip the momentum early and put Georgia on their heels.

Michigan’s football defense doesn’t allow many yards on the ground, but Ohio State showed TCU how to attack the Bulldogs through the air. TCU running back Kendre Miller was injured against Michigan though they are hopeful he will be 100%.

Duggan gets rid of the football quickly, and he will need to as the Bulldogs racked up four sacks against Ohio State, even without pass-rusher Nolan Smith. Duggan ranks 28th in the nation in completed passes down the field, but the Heisman runner-up was picked off twice against Michigan, something he must avoid on Monday.

TCU’s football defense isn’t great, and they gave up more than 550 yards to Michigan. The Horned Frogs play a 3-3-5 defense, and Georgia completed nearly 70% of their passes this season against five DB’s.

 

Bulldogs on a Repeat Mission

Stetson Bennett sure does save his best for the big games. Last year he threw for 537 yards and five touchdowns in the two playoff games, with no interceptions. In Saturday’s semifinal, he led the comeback over Ohio State with 398 yards and three passing touchdowns, including the game-winning score with 54 seconds left.

The Georgia running backs and offensive line can go to work against the Horned Frogs defense. Kenny McIntosh and Daijun Edwards combined for 128 yards against Ohio State on 13 carries, and Mcintosh added four catches for 58 yards and a touchdown. Georgia didn’t stick to the run as they trailed the Buckeyes, but if they can get the ground game going early, they can control the clock and the game.

Georgia’s defense has been uncharacteristic in their last two games, with 30 points allowed against LSU and 41 against Ohio State. On the season, they have allowed just 12.8 ppg and 77 rushing ypg. Even without Smith, they have enough talent to get things back on track on defense and suffocate the Horned Frogs offense.

Game Scripts Dictate Props

You can offer plenty of fun props on the national title game. If Georgia controls the clock and the running game, their passing totals will be low, and that also means TCU will be impatient on offense and throw more. However, if Georgia falls behind like they did against OSU and they run the ball less than 20 times, their passing game props will skyrocket.

Miller is the closest thing to an automatic touchdown for either team, as he found the endzone 17 times on the season. McIntosh has 12 touchdowns, but no one else on either team has gone for more than six touchdowns this season. Touchdown props can be another fun market to create props and bets for a game like this.

UGA Repeats in Big Way

All the numbers here point towards Georgia winning and being in control for the entire game. A 20-point win wouldn’t be a surprise at all, as the Bulldogs have been here before, won big games over ranked teams, and they have the superior talent at nearly every position.

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WagerHome BlogNCAA Football National Title Game Betting Preview

NFL Week 18 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on January 3, 2023

One more week of regular season football, and three playoff spots have still yet to be handed out. Eight NFL teams have a chance to win one of those spots.

It’s put up or shut up in the final week of the regular season.

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5)

The scenario is simple for this game. Win, and you win the division. In fact, that scenario has been in place for a couple of weeks. The Titans rested a number of their NFL players last week in preparation for the win-and-in game in Jacksonville.

At the most important position on the NFL field, however, no amount of resting can help Tennessee. They are down to a third-string quarterback in Joshua Dobbs, and the Jaguars are getting great NFL play from Trevor Lawrence. At home, the Jags win by more than a touchdown and cover the spread.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)

When December began, the Packers were 4-8, and people were calling for the end of the Aaron Rodgers era. Now that we are in January, the Packers are 8-8 and in control of their own playoff destiny. Beat the Lions on Sunday night, and the No. 7 seed in the NFC is theirs.

For the Lions, they too, can get in with a win in this game and help against the Seahawks. If the Rams beat Seattle, and Detroit wins in Lambeau, they are the No. 7 seed. Sadly that is unlikely to happen for Lions fans. Detroit is a very different NFL team on the road, and Green Bay will win and cover.

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)

Speaking of those Seahawks, they actually play before the Packers play, so they will do whatever they can to win, even if it is a win without a playoff appearance as a reward. But the Rams also want to win. Beating their rivals, ending the season on a high note, and finding out if there really could be a future with Baker Mayfield are all things on the agenda.

It won’t matter. The 12th man in Seattle will bring it, and at home, the Seahawks will win by a touchdown.

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (Pick‘em)

The New York Jets have played themselves out of the playoffs with five straight losses. The Dolphins have almost played themselves out of the playoffs with five losses of their own.

If the Patriots win on Sunday, they are in the playoffs. But if New England loses, and the Dolphins win with a backup quarterback, they are the AFC’s final Wild Card team.

It’s a pick’em, and considering the stakes, we’re picking the Dolphins at home.

Pay Per Head Software

If you are an independent bookmaker hoping to see an uptick in your weekly take come NFL playoff time, this is the best week of the year to join forces with a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com.

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NCAA Basketball Teams to Bet on in 2023

by WagerHome Blog on December 28, 2022

Here at WagerHome, we are your home for all things in the pay-per-head betting world and are eager to help you maximize your profitability in all aspects of wagering. If you are looking for the tools and help required to operate a PPH site, WagerHome has everything you need in a one-stop solution.

When it comes to NCAA or college basketball, coaching is king, while guard play and experience are a close second and third. Here are some teams that are likely to be big money movers and makers during league play and the new year.

NCAA Bets for 2023: Illinois Fighting Illini – Fade

From a wagering standpoint, there are different ways to make money: NCAA teams you should “buy” and teams you should “sell.” 

In this case, Brad Underwood’s Illini represents the latter. With strong rumblings out of Champagne suggesting this team is strongly lacking in the chemistry department, Illinois is a team to fade during the second half of the season as league play enters the fold. 

Illinois is proving this as the NCAA season steams forward, ranking just ninth in the Big Ten against the spread on the season. Their 5-6-1 mark ATS is not a number that typically makes up a strong unit, especially considering that their out-of-conference strength of schedule is 133rd in the nation. They have covered just once in their last five games and are now approaching a stretch of four straight teams currently ranked within the Pomeroy top 100, which they are 3-4 against SU thus far in the season. 

NCAA Bets for 2023: Connecticut Huskies – Buy

Coach Danny Hurley and the Huskies are currently the second-ranked NCAA team in the nation and the most consistent from a wagering standpoint. UConn has 11-1-1 thus far in the season against the spread despite playing seven games against “Quad 1 and 2” teams. 

UConn’s only failure to cover this season came in their most recent contest against program nemesis Georgetown. The Huskies were able to notch a double-digit victory but could not cover a bloated spread of (-22). This team has quality depth in the frontcourt with classic big men who rebound and defend the rim while boasting a backcourt that shoots the ball and initiates multiple offensive looks. UConn needs to be considered an NCAA national championship contender at this point.

NCAA Bets for 2023: North Carolina Central – Buy

Teams like North Carolina Central can be very valuable when discussing PPH plays. The Eagles are still coached by legendary Levelle Moton and have played a heck of an out-of-conference slate thus far. 

NCC’s overall record of 6-7 is not indicative of its status as a program or club. The Eagles play in one of the nation’s worst conferences and cannot attract top-level talent. However, due to their coaches’ chops, they are always competitive, which is represented by their 8-1-1 record against the spread. 

The Eagles have covered the spread against all three power six schools they have faced this season. In the games against Virginia, LSU, and Marquette, the largest spread they faced was 24 points, and they were able to cover every time. They are 6-0-1 in their last seven contests and are now entering league play in a weak MEAC after being battle-tested in the out-of-conference season. 

NCAA Bets for 2023: Notre Dame – Fade

The Fighting Irish are another team representing more name value than betting value. Mike Brey’s club is one of the worst in the nation against the spread at just 2-10 ATS this season. The Irish are underperforming the number by a second worst in the ACC (-6.6) points per contest. 

Notre Dame boasts some really nice players in Nate Laszewski and Dane Goodwin, but that has never equaled a ton of success against the number, as the club is just 64-73-1 against the spread overall and 33-39-1 at home during their careers. This season, the Irish are just 2-7 ATS at home. 

 

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NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

NFL Week 17 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on December 27, 2022

Two weeks are left in the season, and nine of the 14 NFL playoff spots have been claimed. Although we don’t yet know where any of those nine teams will be seeded. That, along with the five remaining playoff teams, as well as four division titles, are still to be decided.

It’s the NFL’s sprint to the end of the regular season, and these are the most fun games to wager in Week 17.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-5.5)

Detroit’s playoff chances took a hit with last weekend’s loss to the Panthers. But if they win this week and next and just get a little bit of help, they can still be a postseason team.

Back home in the dome and against the Chicago defense, the Lions should be fine. The one caveat is that Justin Fields ran for 147 yards against them in their last meeting. Just hold Fields to 100 yards, and Detroit will win this game by at least a touchdown. Give the points, enjoy Fields, and watch the Lions cover.

New York Jets (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks

Mike White is back at quarterback for the Jets, and at least for one week, he will keep New York’s NFL season alive. The Jets’ defense will put the clamps on a struggling Geno Smith, and White will generate enough points to get the low-scoring win.

New York takes this game 23-16, and they go to Miami in Week 18, still in the NFL playoff hunt.

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-3)

The Packers were dead and buried, and the only thing that would cure their staleness in 2023 was the end of the Aaron Rodgers era. Not. So. Fast, says the reigning MVP.

Green Bay has an offense again, they have three straight wins, and if a couple of things fall their way, the Packers will be in the NFL playoffs. One of those things is winning this week against the Vikings at Lambeau Field – something that the Packers did exactly one year ago, 37-10.

The Vikings are a different team outside, and they will lose to Green Bay, 27-20.

Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (+1)

The game of the week, and maybe the game of the year, is Monday night in Cincinnati. The reigning AFC champion Bengals, hosting the current top seed in the AFC, the Bills. Joe Burrow vs. Josh Allen is always great, but as the final game of Week 17, it promises to be a classic.

The Bills have been struggling to put lesser teams away, and the Bengals right now are not a lesser team. At home in front of a crazy crowd in the Jungle, Cincinnati will get the win, 27-24.

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