NFL Week 10 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 8, 2022


NFL Week 10 Betting Picks can be found almost anywhere, but you’ve landed on our expert analysis. We closed out the first half of the NFL season with just another boring week in the NFL, which saw the Jets get a massive win over the Bills, Joe Mixon score five touchdowns in the Bengals’ big win, and Patrick Mahomes account for 500 total yards in the Chiefs overtime win over the Titans.

And, oh yeah, Tom Brady moved the Buccaneers 60 yards in less than a minute to beat the defending Super Bowl champion Rams and keep the Buccaneers’ season alive. Just another ho-hum week in the greatest sports league in the world. All sarcasm aside, read on for our NFL Week 10 Betting Picks.


NFL Week 10 Betting Picks: Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers


The Seahawks have won four straight games, they’ve won four straight against the spread, and they are in first place in the NFC West. And yet, for the eighth time this season, they are the underdog going into a game.

It’s worth noting that straight up, the Seahawks are 5-2 as underdogs this season.

Only a miracle from Tom Brady kept the Bucs from losing their fourth straight last week, and they won’t be so lucky against Seattle. We’re not going to be fooled by Tom Brady’s magic in the fourth quarter. Take the points and the Seahawks.

NFL Week 10 Betting Picks


NFL Week 10 Betting Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars (+9.5) at Kansas City Chiefs


The Chiefs win the matchups with the Jaguars everywhere but at running back, where Travis Etienne of the Jaguars has turned into a star. But Kansas City shut down Derrick Henry in the second half of their game Sunday night, and they will contain Etienne enough to win this game.

The Chiefs, however, aren’t great at covering the spread, at just 3-5 this season, so go with the Jaguars and take the points.


NFL Week 10 Betting Picks: Los Angeles Chargers at San Francisco 49ers (-7)


The Chargers pulled off a comeback win in Atlanta, and their inability to defend the run made it such a close game. The 49ers have a much better defense and a much better running game than the Falcons, and they and new weapon Christian McCaffrey will have their way with Los Angeles’ defense.

The Chargers will struggle with the San Francisco pass rush and not keep up with the 49ers‘ offense, and they will not be able to cover the spread. Take the Niners and give the points.


NFL Week 10 Betting Picks: Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5)


Odds are the Eagles won’t go undefeated this year, but the odds are that the first blemish to their record will not come at home against Washington on Monday night. In only two of their eight wins have, Philadelphia’s opponent been within a score of the Eagles this season. There are very good reasons why the Eagles remain undefeated in 2022.

The Commanders often play in close games – their last five have been decided by four, five, two, one, and three points. But the first time they played Philadelphia, they lost by 16 and will lose by at least 11 in the rematch. Take the Eagles and give the points.

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NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on November 1, 2022

Even without their best game, the Bills still looked like the best team in the NFL in Week 8. The Eagles keep winning, the Lions keep losing, Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers continue to lose relevance, and we now live in a football world where the Seahawks and Falcons are first-place teams.

So what can we look forward to as the NFL closes the book on the first half of the regular season?

Buffalo Bills (-13) at New York Jets

Josh Allen threw a pair of interceptions, and the Bills scored just three points in the second half against the Packers, and still, it never looked like they broke a sweat. Football isn’t as easy as they make it look, except perhaps when you are playing Zach Wilson and the Jets.

New York has a roster that could challenge the Bills, but the quarterback is such a mess right now that a 13-point spread doesn’t seem that big. Give the points and take the Bills to continue to dominate their NFL division.

Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta Falcons (+3)

Each year we try to convince ourselves that the great roster of the Chargers is finally going to result in a championship-caliber NFL team. It never seems to happen, and it’s failing again this year, with the Chargers still unable to stop the run, which sunk them against the Seahawks.

Now they get the Falcons, another team that loves to run the football. Atlanta is at home, they average a league-best 158 yards rushing per game, and for that reason, you should take the Falcons and the points.

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Washington Commanders

The Vikings can be frustrating, but they can also be dynamic. Mostly because Justin Jefferson is turning into the best wide receiver in the NFL.

His string of 100-yard games came to an end on Sunday against the Cardinals – he settled for 98. And with Jefferson and Dalvin Cook, who went over 100 yards against Arizona, this offense can control a game.

NFL Week 9 Betting Picks

Taylor Heinicke is limited, and the Vikings will limit him in Washington, winning the game by at least four points.

Los Angeles Rams (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Who is the bigger disappointment? The defending NFL Super Bowl champions or the seven-time Super Bowl champion?

The Rams are falling out of the NFC West race, having now been swept by the 49ers. Tom Brady and the Bucs are trailing the Falcons and tied with the Saints in the NFC South. Who manages to save their NFL season this week?

Too many injuries for the Bucs swings the pendulum to the Rams. Take L.A. and the points.

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NFL Week 8 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 27, 2022

In NFL Week 7, we saw Tom Brady fall to his worst seven-week record in 20 years. Aaron Rodgers, who nearly lost to Bailey Zappe and did lose to Daniel Jones and Zach Wilson, lost to Taylor Heinicke.

Brady and Rodgers are showing once again that the NFL is a week-to-week league, and it is the greatest reality show in the history of television.

So what can we expect out of NFL Week 8? With things so crazy, who are the best and safest bets?

Las Vegas Raiders (-2) at New Orleans Saints

Their NFL record is unimpressive, but the Raiders, who were the best 1-4 team in the league, are now the best 2-4 team in the league. They have been in each of their four losses, and they are coming off an impressive offensive showing in Week 7.

Josh Jacobs has been fantastic, and the Saints are not good against the run. That will be the difference in this one. Jacobs runs wild yet again, and the Raiders win this game 24-20, covering the spread.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+1.5)

Will this be the week Bill Belichick passes George Halas with his 325th career win? The celebration was delayed a week after the Patriots were dominated by the Bears, and the Pats’ two QBs both looked terrible.

The Jets are now without Breece Hall, but there is still magic in New York. The Jets are 5-2 but the underdog for the eighth straight week, and they will get their sixth win outright. The Jets win 21-17 and stay in second place in the AFC East.

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) at Houston Texans

The Titans have completed the sweep of the Indianapolis Colts, and they are now ready to roll through the rest of the AFC South, beginning this week with the Houston Texans. Dameon Pierce will hold his own in an on-field comparison to Derrick Henry, but the Texans team will not hold their own.


Houston is allowing a league-worst 164 yards per game rushing, and Henry will have a big day. The Titans roll, winning by a touchdown and covering the spread.

New York Giants (+3) at Seattle Seahawks

Two Cinderellas meet in Seattle as the 6-1 Giants, with five comeback wins, face the rise of Geno Smith and the Seahawks – the first-place Seahawks, the one team in the NFC West that did not make the playoffs last season.

In a perfect world, we could pick both NFL teams, but in this world, we’re sticking with the Giants. They find a way to win, and they will do it this week too.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 8 Betting Picks

NFL Week 7 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2022

The Eagles are still unbeaten, the Bills are the deserved NFL favorite in the AFC, and the football being played in the Meadowlands is 100% for real.

The Jets are just the second team in NFL history to have a winning record through six games after being the underdog in all six games. And the Giants now have three double-digit comeback wins, which is tied for the most in their 97 seasons of existence.

What new delights lay in store for NFL fans as we move into Week 7?

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) at Washington Commanders

Carson Wentz is injured, putting the Commanders’ offense back in the hands of Taylor Heinicke. And it’s not a great offense in spite of the win at Chicago. Brian Robinson looks like the real deal running the ball, but that’s it.

The Packers are in need of a get-right NFL game, and Washington is the perfect fodder. Green Bay will get it together and win by at least a touchdown.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) at Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers were big favorites last week, and they lost outright. But this is the Panthers, a team truly in disarray, and with an offense that threw more than 80% of their passes last week behind the line of scrimmage. It’s not really an offense at that rate.

Tom Brady and the Bucs aren’t playing great football, but they will beat a very bad Panthers team by at least two touchdowns. Carolina might not score a point in this one.


New York Giants (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars

Just say no to the disrespect to the Giants, at 5-1, and going to Jacksonville as the underdog. The Jags have had their moments, but they haven’t earned the right to be a favorite over a team playing some of the best football in the NFL.

This is a simple choice between believing in the Giants and taking the points or still doubting the Giants. We believe.

Take New York and the points, although you probably won’t need them. The Giants are a good bet to go 6-1.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at San Francisco 49ers

It’s possible the 49ers will get Nick Bosa and Trent Williams back in time for their game with the Chiefs. But the list of other injuries that the team is dealing with is hard to fully comprehend.

The 49ers are missing three cornerbacks, two defensive tackles, two other offensive tackles besides Williams, a pair of linebackers, and two defensive ends.

The Chiefs are a better team when all things are equal, and they are not equal going into this NFL game. The Chiefs will beat the short-handed 49ers by at least 10 points.

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NFL Week 6 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 12, 2022

Six teams are 4-1 or better, and eight others are 3-2. As the NFL passes the quarter pole and heads toward the halfway point, parity reigns supreme. Anything can happen on any given Sunday, like the highest-scoring offense in the league being shut out. Or the league’s last winless team getting a win.

Or the defending Super Bowl champions getting embarrassed for a second week in a row. The Rams’ offense is bad, and the AFC champion Bengals also lost again. And it looks more and more like two new NFL teams are going to rise to the top.

New York Jets (+7) at Green Bay Packers

For the first time since they won in NFL Week 1 of the 2018 season, the New York Jets are over .500. That’s no small feat, considering that they began the season with their starting quarterback injured and with many other key spots occupied by rookies.

But this Jets team has the ability, it has heart, and it now has a running game that can keep games close, especially against an offense that is sputtering like the Packers. The Jets getting a win at Lambeau Field is highly unlikely, but they are good enough to stay competitive and cover the touchdown spread.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (Over 50.5)

In Week 1, Geno Smith was feeling out the Seattle offense, and Pete Carroll was feeling out Smith. In NFL Week 2, they were facing the 49ers, which kept the scoring low. But since that game and over the last three weeks, the Seattle offense has exploded, and the OVER has been hitting.

They cleared the over by 6.5 in Week 3, by 44.5 in Week 4, and by 26 points last week.

Seattle’s defense is not good, giving Kyler Murray a chance to have a big day, and that is why betting OVER 50.5 total points for this NFL game is one of the best bets of the day.


Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles (-6)

Last week it was the Arizona Cardinals that covered the spread against the Eagles and held them to their lowest point total of the NFL season. And it is true that the Dallas defense is considerably better than anything the Cardinals have.

But this game is in Philadelphia, it’s under the lights, and the Linc will be rocking. That means the Eagles’ defense will get after a slower-than-normal offensive line, and Cooper Rush will suffer the first loss of his Cowboys career.

Dallas will generate very little on offense, and Jalen Hurts is just too good to struggle against the Dallas defense. Philly wins by more than a touchdown.

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NFL Week 5 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on October 4, 2022

We saw rookie quarterbacks play for the first time in NFL Week 4, with Bailey Zappe of the Patriots getting the first rookie touchdown pass of 2022. Kenny Pickett is now the starting quarterback in Pittsburgh, putting an end to the three-game era of Mitchell Trubisky.

We still have one unbeaten, the Eagles, but our 0-3 team, the Raiders, got its first win of the NFL season. The Chiefs reinserted themselves into the Super Bowl favorites conversation, and the 49ers did, too, with a dominant defensive performance against the Rams.

More on the Niners and Rams in our best picks for this coming NFL weekend.

New York Giants (+8) vs. Green Bay Packers

We start in London, where the Green Bay Packers are playing for the first time. They are the final of the NFL’s 32 teams to make the trip to England, and for the first time in the history of the London series, we have two winning teams playing each other.

The Giants are playing good defense, and Saquon Barkley is playing like a rushing champion, and the Packers don’t look like a team ready to win a blowout. New York keeps it close, meaning you should take the points.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+14) at Buffalo Bills

The Bills are much better offensively than the Steelers, and they are much better defensively. But the Bills aren’t playing their best football right now, and if rookie Kenny Pickett can protect the football, the Steelers should keep this margin at less than two touchdowns.

Buffalo is banged up, and the offense is out of sequence at the moment; and this is a huge spread for a team that has averaged just 21 points per game the last two weeks. Buffalo wins, but your money should go on Pittsburgh to cover.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) at Carolina Panthers

If there is a team that deserves a 14-point spread, it’s the Niners over the Panthers.

San Francisco’s defensive line just dominated a much better offense in the Rams, and they will have a field day against Baker Mayfield. Carolina, despite having great skill players, may not score in this game. The Niners’ defense is playing that well.


Add in Deebo Samuel at the height of his powers, and the Niners giving six points feels like a no-brainer.

Dallas Cowboys (+4) at Los Angeles Rams

That Rams offensive line that was just dominated by the 49ers now has to play Micah Parsons and the Dallas defense. Sean McVay is one of the best offensive schemers in the business, but he will not have an answer for Parsons, Demarcus Lawrence, Dante Fowler, and Dorance Armstrong.

If the Rams manage to win this NFL game, it will be a low-scoring win by a field goal. Take the Cowboys and the points.

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NFL Week 4 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 28, 2022

After three weeks, we are down to just two 3-0 NFL teams, the Eagles and Dolphins. And, of course, the Dolphins remained unbeaten because they handed the favorite to win the Super Bowl, the Buffalo Bills, their first loss of the season.

Just another week of the greatest reality show on earth, and we get them every week for the next four months.

Minnesota Vikings (-3) vs. New Orleans Saints

The Vikings and Saints, two Jekyll and Hyde teams, play just down the road from the offices of Dr. Henry Jekyll in London.

We thought the Saints were good, but they just gave the Carolina Panthers their first win of the season. We think the Vikings are good and other than a loss at Philadelphia, they have been.

It’s a national broadcast, but it isn’t in prime time, so we’re going to go with Kirk Cousins and the Vikings offense to cover the field goal spread.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

The Eagles are blowing teams out, and if this was a month ago, we might think that the 6.5-point spread was an easy cover for Jalen Hurts and the best team in the NFC.

But the Jags have won two straight, including their first road win since 2019, and in each of those wins, they were underdogs.

We’re not going to predict a Jags win, but at almost a touchdown, we like the Jags to cover this NFL spread. Until bookmakers start giving Jacksonville the respect they’ve earned, keep riding them to wins.


Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (Over 51.5)

The Bills’ offense managed just 17 points last week, but they gained 497 yards. In comparison, when the Ravens gave up 42 points to Miami, they allowed 547 yards. Even against the struggling Patriots offense, Baltimore allowed 447 yards and 26 points.

It’s Josh Allen, at the top of his game, vs. Lamar Jackson, who is at the top of his game, and while the Bills (-3) is a tough call, going OVER 51.5 feels like a really solid NFL play.

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)

The 49ers always play the Rams tough, but did you see Jimmy Garoppolo on Sunday against the Broncos? Denver has a very good defense, but you can see why general manager John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan tried to move on from Jimmy G this NFL season.

The Rams have yet to put it together for one complete game, but that game is coming. And if you can get the Rams as underdogs against a team that has failed to break 10 points in two of three NFL games, you do it. Take L.A. and the points.

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NFL Week 3 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 20, 2022

The NFL loves its parity, and after two weeks of football, we are down to just six undefeated teams – the Bills, Dolphins, and Chiefs in the AFC, and the Eagles, Giants, and Buccaneers in the NFC.

That is the fewest 2-0 teams in the NFL since divisions realigned in 2002. It’s also worth noting that there are only five teams that are 0-2, and that’s a magic number because last season, we had seven 0-2 teams, and not one of them made the playoffs. Three of the five teams at 0-2 this year were playoff teams in 2021.

It’s the best league, anything can happen, and anything can happen when you place your bets.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) at New England Patriots

It is a week for road favorites, and the first of these is the Baltimore Ravens visiting the New England Patriots.

Lamar Jackson isn’t likely to have another perfect week, but he is clearly playing at the top of his game, and he should have another big week. The Ravens’ defense also won’t collapse, as it did against the Dolphins. Instead of trying to contain Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, a challenge for a banged-up secondary, the Patriots have Jakobi Meyers and Nelson Agholor.

Advantages to the Ravens in all three phases of the game have them covering the field goal spread.


Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Indianapolis Colts

No team has started this season worse than the Indianapolis Colts, and Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense is just fine without Tyreek Hill.

Kansas City had some problems with the Chargers’ wide receivers, but that is a weakness of the Colts, as is their offensive tackle situation. Shutting down Indy isn’t hard to do right now (see: Week 2 at Jacksonville), and the Chiefs will find the end zone at least four times.

Kansas City rolls to a big win in Indianapolis.

Buffalo Bills (-5.5) at Miami Dolphins

Good on the Miami Dolphins for their comeback win over the Ravens. But don’t forget, they were down 35-14, and against a better NFL team, that comeback never happens, and Miami loses big.

Buffalo is that better team. The best team in the NFL at this stage, coming off two giant wins over two of the best teams in 2021. Super Bowl champion Rams, no problem. They beat them by 21. The No. 1 playoff seed in the AFC in the Titans, they barely break a sweat. The Bills beat them by 34.

Buffalo is scary good, and they go into Miami and win by well over a touchdown.

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NFL Week 2 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 14, 2022

You are forgiven if you aren’t yet fully recovered from a wild Week 1 in the NFL. With Seattle’s 1-point win over Denver on Monday, the NFL set a Week 1 record with seven games decided by three points or less.

The NFL is the most incredible reality show on earth, and this is what it has in store for us in Week 2.

Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-2.5)

Carson Wentz gave us the full Carson Wentz experience in Week 1, making a couple of terrible decisions and absolutely beautiful throws. It resulted in a win, but a close win against the Jaguars that would have been a loss to a better team.

In 2022 the Lions are a better team, as they showed in their near comeback against the Eagles. At home and against a quarterback who will turn the ball over, Detroit wins 24-20 and covers the spread.

Cincinnati Bengals (-7) at Dallas Cowboys

Following a game with five turnovers, Joe Burrow now plays against a team that led all of football last year in forced turnovers. But none of that will matter with Cooper Rush as the Dallas quarterback.

Burrow may throw a pick or two, but the Cowboys’ offense will be terrible, and the Bengals will win this game by at least 10 points. Look for Cincinnati to cover, but not look all that great in doing so.


Seattle Seahawks (+9.5) at San Francisco 49ers

Trey Lance is a big question mark, Elijah Mitchell is gone for the next two months, and the status of George Kittle for Week 2 is unknown. Maybe he’ll play, maybe he won’t.

Add in the confidence that Geno Smith showed on Monday night and Seattle’s big win over the Broncos, and the 9.5-point spread feels like too much value to ignore. Maybe Seattle has a letdown after such an emotional win. But maybe this team is better than people think, and they keep this NFL game close.

We believe the latter. Take Seattle and the points.

Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders (-6)

Clean up the turnovers, and this Raiders offense can be good. They could have been good against the Chargers and even beaten them. And as we saw against the Chiefs, this Cardinals defense has some real problems.

Derek Carr isn’t going to replicate the five-touchdown day of Patrick Mahomes, but he and the Raiders will find the end zone multiple times against Arizona and win this NFL game by at least a touchdown. Bet on the Raiders to cover this spread.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 2 Betting Picks

NFL Week 1 Betting Picks

by WagerHome Blog on September 8, 2022

The NFL is back this weekend, and that means the absolute, very best sports betting is also back, with 14 games on Sunday and a 15th coming Monday night in Seattle.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (-3.5)

Even with Tom Brady, the Patriots had issues playing in Miami, and now the Dolphins have one of the fastest offenses in football.

This bet is as much pro-Miami as it is anti an offense with co-offensive coordinators who have no experience ever working as offensive coordinators. The two-headed offensive monster of Matt Patricia and Joe Judge sounds like a disaster in the making, and on Sunday, the Dolphins will take full advantage.

Las Vegas Raiders (+3.5) at Los Angeles Chargers

This is the game that ended the 2021 regular season, and it was a doozy, with the overtime winner going to the playoffs (the Raiders) and the loser (the Chargers) going home.

Justin Herbert lit up the scoreboard that night, and he will do it again. But the Raiders now have Davante Adams, L.A. addition J.C. Jackson is not going to play, and with the superior Daniel Carlson as their kicker, this is going to be a field goal game.

Take Las Vegas and the points, and consider the Raiders on the moneyline too.

San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Chicago Bears

The Bears have one of the worst rosters in the NFL, and even with a quarterback that is largely an unknown, the 49ers have one of the best rosters in the NFL.

Don’t be too worried about Trey Lance. This 49ers team is going to be good, and against a team like Chicago, who is expected to get a top-five draft pick next year, the 49ers will look great. This is going to be an easy win for San Francisco, and they will cover the touchdown spread.


Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks (+6.5)

Seattle traded its franchise quarterback to Denver in the offseason, and just last week, the Broncos signed him to a huge contract extension that will keep him in the Mile High City for the next seven years.

No question that Russell Wilson wants to win this game more than any other on the schedule, but this Seahawks roster is better than many people are giving it credit for. The Broncos are the better team, but it will be an emotional night at home, and the Seattle defense will keep the final score to less than a touchdown.

Denver wins, but Seattle covers.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 1 Betting Picks