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NBA Playoffs Betting Guide to Win 2021 Title

by WagerHome Blog on May 17, 2021

On Tuesday, the play-in tournaments begin, leading us to the first round of the NBA Playoffs that tip-off on Saturday. And as we enter the best part of the NBA season, the number one question on everyone’s mind is who is going to win and where I should put my money.

So which teams in their respective conferences are favored to win the NBA’s Larry O’Brien trophy, regardless of their current standing coming into the NBA playoffs?

Eastern Conference

Brooklyn Nets (+225): The Nets are the No. 2 seed in the East but the betting favorite to win the NBA Championship at +225. And they make a great betting favorite if they can stay healthy. Brooklyn’s top three players – James, Harden, Kyrie Irving, and Kevin Durant – have played just eight games together this season.

Philadelphia 76ers (+750): The top seed in the East, the Sixers are the second betting favorite in the conference. If defense truly does win championships, the excellent defense in Philadelphia is going to be tough to beat.

Milwaukee Bucks (+900): When you take the floor with the defending MVP, you always have a chance to win. But even with Giannis Antetokounmpo in the lineup, the last two years have seen playoff disappointment in Milwaukee. And last year’s disappointment came at the hands of the Miami Heat, which just so happens to be the Bucks’ first-round opponent.

Miami Heat (+3000): Only the 6th seed, the Heat are the fourth betting favorite in the East. But at +3000 and an underdog in the first round, at best, the Heat are a longshot.

Western Conference

Los Angeles Lakers (+425): If you take a shot at the king, you better kill him. The Lakers have taken so many shots this season that they actually find themselves taking on Golden State in the play-in tournament. But they are the defending champions, they have LeBron James, and they are the betting favorite in the West.

Los Angeles Clippers (+600): Another team that has struggled with injuries, and thus struggled to find chemistry, are the Clippers. They had expectations of finishing higher than the fourth seed, as the second betting favorite in the West, bettors have higher expectations as well.

Utah Jazz (+750): They won an NBA-best 52 games and have been on top of the Western Conference for most of the season. The Utah Jazz has been consistently good all season, and at +750 – only third-best in the West – they provide good betting value.

Denver Nuggets (+3000): Nikola Jokic is the deserved MVP favorite, and he is enough by himself to carry the Nuggets through a couple of rounds. But too many injuries leave a championship in doubt, and the 3rd seed in the West is paying the long odds of +3000.

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Christmas Day Opens Door for Nice Multiple Sports Parlay

by WagerHome Blog on December 24, 2020

If you are an independent bookmaker or just someone who has thought about opening your own bookmaking shop, you already know about the NBA showcase on Christmas Day. It’s the biggest day on pro basketball’s regular-season television calendar.

But with Christmas falling on a Friday this year – which is close enough to the weekend for the NFL to jump on board – we’re getting two professional sports on one big day. Add in a college bowl game and three college basketball games involving Top 25 teams, and it’s a sports betting Christmas Miracle.

NBA Lineup

From right after you open the presents under your tree to right before you go to bed, there are five of the best NBA matchups of the season to watch and wager.

New Orleans Pelicans Miami at Heat (-5)
Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks (-8)
Brooklyn Nets (-1) at Boston Celtics
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers (-6)
LA Clippers at Denver Nuggets (Pick)

The day starts with last season’s Eastern Conference champion, the Heat, hosting Lonzo Ball, Zion Williamson, and the New Orleans Pelicans. Next, the favorite to win the East this season, the Milwaukee Bucks, host a returning Stephen Curry and the Warriors.

Then, the Celtics, a conference finalist a season ago, host the Nets, who are led by a now-healthy Kevin Durant.

In the Western Conference, the defending NBA champion Lakers continue the defense of their title against the Mavericks. The two biggest challengers to the Lakers, the Clippers and Nuggets, finish off the night in Denver.

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

New Orleans sports fans have a full day, starting with the Pelicans and ending with the Saints and their effort to stay as the NFC’s second seed. The Saints are seven-point favorites over the sliding Minnesota Vikings, who see their Wild Card hopes on life support.

It’s the second game for Drew Brees since he came back from broken ribs, and it will be the second game since Michael Thomas was placed on injured reserve. The rushing title is Derrick Henry’s to lose, but the Vikings’ Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in total yards from scrimmage and is on pace to break 2,100 yards.

College Sports Schedule

Adding to the mix of great Christmas Day professional sports is the Camellia Bowl in Montgomery, Ala. Both Marshall and Buffalo began the season with long winning streaks but head into their bowl matchup after each taking a loss. Buffalo is favored by 3.5 points, and the over/under is 53.5.

College basketball has four Big Ten games on its schedule, including three games involving ranked teams.

No. 9 Wisconsin at No. 12 Michigan State
No. 19 Michigan at Nebraska
No. 4 Iowa at Minnesota

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NBA Draft Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on November 17, 2020

The new NBA season won’t begin until the end of December. But the delayed NBA Draft provides bettors with a little pre-Thanksgiving wagering gift on Wednesday night.

It’s no longer about just the Los Angeles Lakers and the Miami Heat and which team will capture the NBA title. Instead, we look at the worst teams in the NBA – teams that failed to make the playoffs – and who their future building blocks are for 2021 and beyond.

Favorites to Go No. 1 Overall

LaMelo Ball (-176)
Anthony Edwards (+175)
James Wiseman (+600)
Obi Toppin (+5000)
Deni Avdija (+6500)

Ball is the pre-draft favorite, and as a 6-7 point guard with versatility, you can see why. He does have his own clothing line already, and a father who is less than desirable if you’re an NBA general manager. But his talent outweighs his baggage.

To consider before plunking down a bet on Ball is that the Minnesota Timberwolves already have a possession-dominant point guard in D’Angelo Russell, who they traded a pair of 2021 picks for just last season. So while Ball might be the best player in the country, he may not be the best fit in Minnesota.

That’s where Georgia’s Anthony Edwards comes in. He averaged 19 points per game as a freshman, and the 6-5 shooting guard would fit perfectly on the wing.

James Wiseman is 7-1 and destined to be an elite big man. But after just three games at Memphis last year, he was ruled ineligible, making him a wild card going into draft day.

Player Draft Positions

Not sure which player is coming off the board at No. 1? No problem. You can bet on each player’s NBA draft position with a bet that mimics an over/under bet.

LaMelo Ball: 2.5 (over +260; under -345)
Anthony Edwards: 1.5 (over -213; under +175)
James Wiseman: 2.5 (over -125; under +105)
Obi Toppin: 4.5 (over -189; under +155)
Deni Avdija: 4.5 (over +100; under -121)
Killian Hayes: 6.5 (over -200; under +165)
Tyrese Haliburton: 7.5 (over +135; under -164)
Isaac Okoro: 8.5 (over -115; under -105)
Devin Vassell: 11.5 (over +105; under -125)
Aaron Nesmith: 12.5 (over -125; under +105)

Most mock drafts have Deni Avdija going to the Bulls with the fourth overall pick. It makes sense with former Nuggets general manager Arturus Karnisovas making the pick for Chicago and with a history of picking international players. So the under looks good there.

The most volatile of these top picks might be Iowa State’s Tyrese Haliburton. He could go as high as fourth, or possibly as low as eighth.

Pay Per Head Software

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Opening NBA Action: Best Bets of the Weekend

by WagerHome Blog on July 28, 2020

In NBA betting, the general rule is the more that is known, the harder it is to find good value. If Team A is exponentially better than Team B, the lines reflect it.

But if that rule is true, then the opposite must also be true. The less that is known, the more volatile the line, the more the public is off, and the greater chance that you can find a line with good value.

Well, never in the history of basketball has there been less known about what is going to happen in Orlando. No home courts, no fans, and everyone living under one bubble. Trying to parse what will happen based on where things stood in March is a fool’s errand.

LA Clippers (+4.5) vs. Los Angeles Lakers – July 30

That takes us to our first best bet this weekend. Are the Lakers really 4.5 points better than the Clippers? Four months away from competitive basketball makes it impossible to say. This feels like too big of a line for these two very evenly matched teams.

Also, it’s important to remember that this is just a seeding game, and the Lakers are already going to be tough to catch atop the West. The Clippers have a much greater incentive when they take the floor.

Orlando Magic (-6.5) vs. Brooklyn Nets – July 31

No NBA team has less to play for than the Nets, and no team is headed to Orlando with fewer of its star players. No Kevin Durant or Kyrie Irving, and with no real incentive to win, means that the Nets will be treating the Orlando bubble like a training camp for next season.

The Magic, on the other hand, can pass the Nets in the standings with this one win and move into a better seed. Being the only true home team for the restart may also aid the Magic a bit, but really it’s the tattered shape of the Nets roster that makes this a strong bet to make.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1) vs. Utah Jazz – Aug. 1

These two teams are right next to each other in the standings, making it an even matchup on a regular day. But this is Utah’s second game of the restart after taking on New Orleans Thursday night. Considering no one has played competitive basketball in four months, turning around and playing again on Saturday will take its toll.

When things shut down in March, Oklahoma City was playing some of the best basketball in the league and was particularly good at winning close games – which is what will happen here.

Pay Per Head Software

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MLB, NBA, NHL All Set to Return in July

by WagerHome Blog on June 30, 2020

Normally, the sports calendar in July is so slow that ESPN puts out its annual award show, The Espys, just to help fill the void until things return. With only baseball to fill our weeks, and NFL training camps beginning at the end of the month, sports fans and sports bettors know that July is the best time to take family vacations.

Not this year.

Get ready for the greatest month of July the sports world has ever seen.

The Return of Baseball

Finally, after multiple weeks of negotiating, fighting through the media, telling us the season was 100% going to happen, then not happen, and then happen again, MLB and its players union have an agreement to begin the season on July 23.

It will be an all-out 60-game sprint to the playoffs and a season unlike anything we’ve ever seen before, with all teams only playing games against their division or the corresponding regional division in the other league (NL East vs. AL East, and so on).

NBA Seeding Games and Playoffs

One of the reasons the NCAA Tournament is so great is that there is no waiting for basketball to start. Games tip off early, and never seem to stop. Now imagine an NBA world like that. How amazing would it be?

Imagine no more, because when the NBA resumes on July 30, they will play 88 seeding games to finish out the season in just two weeks time. Twenty-two teams, three courts, four television networks (TNT, ESPN, ABC, and NBATV), and games starting as early as 12:30 pm ET through as late as 9 pm ET.

You can’t really go anywhere at the moment, so grab your remote, your favorite betting app, and prepare for NBA basketball overload.

NHL Playoffs

A Stanley Cup Playoffs like we’ve never seen before will also be coming to our televisions in late July. Twelve teams from each conference are in, with the top four teams in each playing a round-robin tournament for seeding, while everyone else plays in a best-of-five series for the right to get into the final playoff bracket.

The NHL still hasn’t decided which cities will serve as hubs for these games, or when exactly players will report. A new CBA is close to finalization, which, along with creating labor peace for the next six years, will create the return-to-play protocols, including a date certain for the resumption of training camps and the playoffs that follow.

Pay Per Head

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Restart Updates For NBA, NHL; MLB Negotiations

by WagerHome Blog on June 11, 2020

You can now get a haircut, go to a restaurant, and very soon you will be able to watch major American team sports on television. We’ve almost made it. Congratulate yourself, and then get ready for the wildest summer of sports you’ve ever seen as leagues continue to put together their plans to restart.

NBA Going to Orlando

The NBA’s return won’t happen until July 31, but when it does, watch out. If you thought two months of playoffs with 16 teams was intense, the restarted NBA will feature 22 teams, eight seeding games, a play-in tournament, and then a full playoff schedule of 16 teams, with every game taking place at ESPN’s Wide World of Sports in Orlando.

We’ll get the draft lottery at the end of August and October will feature the end of the NBA Finals, the Draft, and the start of free agency. Then, a new season is set to begin Dec. 1.

All of this has been approved by both the league and players union, but, as with everything in the sports restart world of COVID-19, it’s all subject to change.

NHL With 24-Team Playoffs

One-upping the NBA is the NHL’s agreed-upon restart format. The top four seeds in each conference will play a round-robin to determine final seeding, while the other 16 teams (seeds five through 12 in each conference) will play best-of-five series to determine who moves on to face those top seeds.

An exciting change and one many hockey fans have been pushing for long before this season, is that each playoff round will be reseeded. Instead of a hard bracket, which would render the round-robin of the top seeds moot, the top seed will always face the lowest remaining seed.

Teams have begun to return to their practice facilities, and the league hopes to resume play by late July/early August in two yet-to-be-selected hub cities – one for all Eastern Conference games and the other for all Western Conference games.

MLB Remains A Mystery

For weeks we have heard: “Don’t worry, there is too much money at stake for baseball to cancel its full season.”

Maybe that’s the problem. There is simply too much money at stake, both for 2020 and beyond, for MLB and its players union – two long-time adversaries – to come together.

Sliding scales, prorated pay, and different season lengths have all been discussed. Even the dreaded label “salary cap” has been said.

They’ve blown past their self-imposed June 1 deadline to get a deal done, but negotiations do continue. So does that mean there is still hope for a baseball season? Las Vegas oddsmakers say yes.

There is still a 75% chance a season will be played. But with each passing day, that becomes a longer bet.

Pay Per Head Software

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Three Dark Horse NBA Title Contenders In Second Half Of Season

by WagerHome Blog on February 18, 2020

From a legendary slam dunk competition to a battle to the very end in the NBA All-Star Game, it was an All-Star weekend for the ages, all underscored with tributes to the life and play of the late Kobe Bryant.

The pause in the season came at the perfect time, allowing everyone to celebrate and reflect on what has happened in the last three weeks. And everyone seems to have left the weekend re-charged and with a new sense of purpose for the upcoming sprint to the postseason.

The favorites to compete for the title have already established themselves. But who might emerge in the second half as dark horse candidates that could give the heavyweights a run for their money?

Denver Nuggets

The favorites in the West are the two teams in Los Angeles, with the Lakers moving clear of the field in the week before the All-Star break. But both the Lakers and Clippers are an injury away from coming back to the pack. The Nuggets, on the other hand, run deep. They’ve rarely had everyone healthy at the same time, yet are still hanging around.

If Paul George’s bad hamstring acts up for the Clippers, or one of the big-two with the Lakers goes into the playoffs less than healthy, keep an eye on the depth of the Nuggets.

Miami Heat

No team has seen a bigger jump in its odds to win the NBA title over the course of the season more than the Miami Heat. They began the year at 600-to-1, and now stand as high 25-to-1.

No, that doesn’t make them a likely winner. But they’ve played great basketball inside the Eastern Conference, they’ve been absolutely dominant at home, and they added Andre Iguodala at the trade deadline.

That doesn’t necessarily put them in Milwaukee’s league, but it does put them in position to capitalize should the Bucks stumble.

Toronto Raptors

The Raptors have also seen a meteoric rise in their championship odds largely fueled by an amazing 15-game win streak right before the All-Star break. Power forward Pascal Siakam has emerged as a consistent scorer down low, and he’s been complimented on the outside by the great play of guards Kyle Lowry and Fred VanVleet.

They obviously lost Kawhi Leonard in the offseason, and expectations for this team were low because of that. But they still have plenty of playoff experience and the ability to get hot at a moment’s notice.

Pay Per Head Software

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Winners And Losers Of The NBA Trade Deadline

by WagerHome Blog on February 11, 2020

Now that the NBA trade deadline has come and gone, the league’s home stretch has officially begun. From here to the playoffs, the games mean more, the competition ramps up, and we’ll get a better idea of the teams that are truly built to make a deep run in the playoffs and compete for the NBA title.

It’s also when we see an uptick in NBA betting, which you already know if you run your own bookmaking service. You might also know that the best way to improve that business is with pay per head software, but you’ve yet to pull the trigger on joining forces with a PPH service because of the commitment.

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As for the moves that were the right ones to make at the trade deadline, here is our list of the biggest winners and losers.

Winner: LA Clippers (3/1 to win NBA Finals)

The Clippers were already one of the best teams in the West, and while treating the regular season as one long tuneup to the playoffs, they have managed to solidify themselves near the top of the Western Conference. But they now may be the best team in the conference after picking up Marcus Morris Sr. from the Knicks.

Morris is a tough and physical defender, scores 18 points per game, and is a great three-point shooter who is sure to find plenty of space to shoot with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George getting the bulk of the defensive attention.

Loser: Los Angeles Lakers (2/1 to win NBA Finals)

The Lakers are still the Vegas favorites to win the championship, but they too wanted Morris. Plan B was Darren Collison coming back, but he’s decided to stay retired.

Both Utah and Denver made small upgrades at the deadline, making the West more competitive overall and the Lakers’ path to the Finals that much more challenging.

Winner: Miami Heat (30/1 to win NBA Finals)

The Milwaukee Bucks are the agreed-upon best team in the East. But the race to be the No. 2 team in the conference just got more interesting with Miami’s acquisitions of Andre Iguodala and Jae Crowder.

Both players bring playoff experience to the Heat as well as defensive flexibility, and the Heat didn’t have the mortgage the future to get either one, leaving them as a big free-agent player this offseason.

Loser: New York Knicks (10000/1 to win NBA Finals)

Not to pile on the Knicks, who’ve been in the loser category for the better part of a decade, but Morris was one of the more valuable pieces available at the deadline, and they didn’t get nearly enough in return.

New York received Maurice Harkless and a first-round pick that will be near the very bottom of the round, making it a rather pedestrian haul for a player seen as someone who could put the Clippers over the top.

Can Anyone Outside Los Angeles Win the 2020 NBA Championship?

by WagerHome Blog on February 8, 2020

Los Angeles seems to be the place to be this season in the NBA. With the Golden State Warriors taking a big step back this year and Kawhi Leonard deciding to leave the Toronto Raptors after leading them to last year’s title, this year’s NBA was supposed to be a wide-open race. But has it become a two-horse race between tenants of the same building – the Lakers and Clippers?

Is the NBA Championship victory destined to end at Staples Center in Los Angeles, with the team in attendance the only thing left to be decided?

Los Angeles Lakers

LeBron James has reached the age that Michael Jordan was when he retired from the Bulls (before his comeback with the Wizards). But James’ play indicates that he is far from ready to hang it up and take up full-time movie production. He has been great in all facets of the game and still looks like the best player in the league.

Anthony Davis has been exactly what the Lakers were hoping for when they traded for him. He scores, he rebounds, he blocks, he steals, and he has become the perfect complement to James.

The Lakers are great, and an obvious favorite. But they are not invincible. They lost four straight games in December and recently dropped a road game to a mediocre 76ers team.

LA Clippers

Leonard has gotten some heat about sitting a few games. But he’s playing at a championship level, and if he’s able to keep himself fresh for a deep playoff run, there’s no reason to think it won’t happen.

Paul George is back and healthy after missing almost all of January with a hamstring injury, and he just pulled off back-to-back double-doubles. Leonard is the star of this team, without question, but when George is also on the floor, they can beat anyone.

The one knock against this Los Angeles team is history. The Clippers don’t have it, and even though Leonard just won his second NBA Finals MVP, the Clippers will carry the baggage of past failures into every playoff series. The last three times they made the playoffs, they were knocked out in the first round.

Eastern Conference Contenders

The Bucks continue to be the class of the East and still have the defending league MVP in Giannis Antetokounmpo. They lead the entire league in scoring while also boasting a top 10 defense. That kind of all-around play is exactly what Milwaukee needs to get over the championship hump.

Toronto was supposed to be done when Leonard decided to leave it, and at the beginning of the season, that’s how it looked. But the Raptors have ripped off a torrid streak of wins since early January and have themselves in second place. They play great defense, rank third in three-point shooting, and can lean on the experience of last season’s title run.

Pay Per Head Software

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Top 5 Teams To Bet To Win The 2020 NBA Finals

by WagerHome Blog on January 14, 2020

The NBA season doesn’t officially start (unofficially) until after Christmas Day. We are now past that important marker and have begun the second-half sprint through the regular season and on to the playoffs.

It is never too early to start talking about the NBA Finals and which teams make for a great Finals bet, just like it’s never too early to take your bookmaking business to the next level by signing up for pay per head software. Try WagerHome.com for free for the next four weeks to see if it’s right for you.

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers are living up to the hype and right now look like the best team in the NBA. You aren’t getting a great payday at just 5/2, but since they are the prohibitive favorites here in January, they have to be listed as one of the top bets to win the Finals in June.

There simply is no better tandem in the NBA than LeBron James and Anthony Davis.

Milwaukee Bucks

At 7/2, the value of a futures bet on the Bucks is better than the Lakers, while the product on the floor may be just as good. And there are many power rankings that have the current leaders in the Eastern Conference as the best team in the NBA, not the Lakers.

The Bucks are experienced and almost made it to the Finals last year, and when you have all-world player Giannis Antetokounmpo, you can beat any team at any time.

Houston Rockets

With the juggernaut Golden State Warriors no longer the dynasty in the West, the race to the Finals feels more wide open than ever. So you have to consider any team that has James Harden as a strong championship possibility.

And with odds at 12/1, the return on the investment has the potential to be quite good. Harden is a former MVP and two-time scoring champion, and he alone makes the Rockets true contenders.

Boston Celtics

There are a few teams trying to line up behind the Bucks as the second-best team in the East, and right now, it seems that the Boston Celtics will emerge as that team by playoff time. They are playing great defense, ranking second in the NBA in points allowed.

The Celtics rank third in the league in margin of victory and rank in the top 10 in steals, blocks, opponent shooting percentage, and offensive efficiency. And that 16/1 number is hard to resist.

Denver Nuggets

Watch Nikola Jokic for a game, and you can see why the Nuggets are having such a great season. Jokic does everything inside for Denver, while guards Jamal Murray and Will Barton do it all from the outside.

The Nuggets aren’t as good as the Lakers and would definitely be an underdog in any playoff meeting between the two. But as one of the many teams in contention to emerge from the West, they provide great value at 20/1 odds.

Eastern Conference

Western Conference

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NBA Lineup

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

College Sports Schedule

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Favorites to Go No. 1 Overall

Player Draft Positions

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LA Clippers (+4.5) vs. Los Angeles Lakers – July 30

Orlando Magic (-6.5) vs. Brooklyn Nets – July 31

Oklahoma City Thunder (-1) vs. Utah Jazz – Aug. 1

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The Return of Baseball

NBA Seeding Games and Playoffs

NHL Playoffs

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NBA Going to Orlando

NHL With 24-Team Playoffs

MLB Remains A Mystery

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Denver Nuggets

Miami Heat

Toronto Raptors

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Winner: LA Clippers (3/1 to win NBA Finals)

Loser: Los Angeles Lakers (2/1 to win NBA Finals)

Winner: Miami Heat (30/1 to win NBA Finals)

Loser: New York Knicks (10000/1 to win NBA Finals)

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