NFL Best Bets for Week 8

by WagerHome Blog on October 26, 2023

NFL Best Bets for Week 8

The 49ers lost for a second straight week, the Dolphins were shut down by the Eagles, and the Bills lost to the lowly Patriots – one of four one-win teams to get a victory in Week 7.

The crazy reality show that is the NFL season marches on, and here is what we *think* will happen this weekend.

Baltimore Ravens (-8.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Ravens offense was spectacular on Sunday against the Lions, with five touchdown drives that averaged 82 yards per drive. Lamar Jackson is turning into a great pocket passer, and yet he also still ran for a touchdown in the 38-6 win.

The Baltimore defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, and in four October games they’ve allowed just 42 points. For their end of October game in Arizona, covering the 8.5-point spread should be easy.

New York Jets at New York Giants (+138 Moneyline)

The New York Jets are the favorite over the New York Giants, in this weekend’s battle of New Jersey. But the Giants have been playing much better with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback, and Saquon Barkley is looking like a guy who should have been given a long-term extension.

It’s a home game for the Giants, so the majority of MetLife Stadium will be filled with their fans. And if anyone can handle the good Jets defense, and not turn the ball over multiple times, it’s a quarterback as experienced as Taylor.

The Giants are the underdog, but the plus money you are getting with a straight up by the G-Men makes this an attractive bet. As value plays go this weekend in the NFL, this is one of the best.

Las Vegas Raiders at Detroit Lions (-8)


The schedule makers must have known that the Lions would slip up against the Ravens, and would need a good bounce back opponent the next week at home, and in primetime. Enter the Las Vegas Raiders, the definition of a “get-right” team on your schedule.

The Raiders were just dominated by a bad offense being led by an undrafted rookie from a Division II school. Now they get a great offense in the Lions, led by Jared Goff, who has been outstanding for six of the seven games this year.

The Lions are angry after their loss last week, and they will take out those frustrations on a very bad Raiders team.

Pay Per Head Software

The NFL season is almost halfway over, college football is entering the best part of its schedule, and the World Series is here. Plus we have the NBA and NHL, college basketball is coming, and the NASCAR season is down to its final two races.

The sports betting schedule is packed, and if you are an independent bookmaker trying to keep up with it all, it can feel overwhelming. That is where a top pay per head software provider like WagerHome.com comes in.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Best Bets for Week 8

Final NASCAR Playoff Elimination Race at Martinsville

by WagerHome Blog on October 25, 2023

You can be forgiven if you haven’t been thinking about NASCAR. This week, and for the only full week of the year, we have the NFL and college football, the beginnings of the NBA and NHL seasons, and the Major League Baseball postseason.

But the most exciting event of all this weekend might be the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville. We have half of the Cup Series Championship 4, and the other half will be decided over 500 laps at the shortest track on the NASCAR Cup Series circuit, Martinsville Speedway.

NASCAR Odds to Win Xfinity 500

  • Denny Hamlin (+275)
  • Kyle Larson (+700)
  • William Byron (+750)
  • Brad Keselowski (+850)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1400)
  • Tyler Reddick (+1500)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1800)
  • Kyle Busch (+1900)

Kyle Larson was a winner at Martinsville in April, and a win here this week would build some big momentum for him going to Phoenix in a week. Although he’s already in the Championship 4 because of his win at Las Vegas two weekends ago, and his incentives to race hard are a little less.

The other driver in the Championship 4 is Christopher Bell, who won last week at Homestead. He is just outside the top 10 for this race at +2000 to win.

Denny Hamlin is the NASCAR favorite this weekend on the strength of his five career victories at Martinsville. In all likelihood, he will need to win in order to race with the championship on the line next week in Phoenix. He’s down by 17 points, and making up that difference would require some bad runs from the drivers he’s competing with.

NASCAR

William Byron is at +750 to win this week, and he’s in a good position to qualify for next week. He doesn’t have to worry about anyone else. If he gets 36 points this weekend, something he has done in three of his last five races at Martinsville, he is automatically in the Championship 4.

Ryan Blaney is also like Byron in that as long as no one below him wins the race, and he himself runs well, he’ll be in. He has picked up at least 42 points in seven of his last nine starts at Martinsville, and if he repeats that on Sunday, he’s likely in.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Winning at Martinsville is a big prize, but at this time of year, it’s simply a means of getting to the real prize, next week’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship race at Phoenix International Raceway.

The eight NASCAR drivers still in the race for the championship this year are Bell and Larson (in the Championship 4), Byron and Blaney (currently third and fourth), and Tyler Reddick, Martin Truex Jr., Hamlin, and Chris Buescher.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogFinal NASCAR Playoff Elimination Race at Martinsville

NFL Week 7 Best Bets

by WagerHome Blog on October 19, 2023

With six teams on a bye in NFL Week 7, we have a slimmed-down NFL schedule this weekend, with only 13 games.

But fewer games does not mean fewer good NFL games, and we begin our Week 7 best bets look at a really good game in Baltimore.

Detroit Lions (+3) at Baltimore Ravens

Jared Goff has been outstanding, the Lions are in the top 10 in both offense and defense, and their 5-1 record is tied for the best mark in the NFL. And Detroit is a road underdog at the Baltimore Ravens.

The Ravens are good, but the Lions have been hammering teams, winning four games by double-digits. It’s not that the Ravens don’t present a challenge for the Lions, but at this point, Detroit has earned the right to not get points just because they’re on the road.

Take those points.

Washington Commanders (-2.5) at New York Giants

This is not one of the better games of the weekend, but it is one of the better bets. Yes, the Giants nearly shocked the world with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback last week in Buffalo. But that was a superior performance by Taylor against his old team. This week, he will have a letdown against an old division foe.

The Commanders look like a potential NFL Wild Card team, the Giants look like a top-five drafting team, and Washington is the better bet at MetLife Stadium.

NFL

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)

The Cardinals are playing as good a football as you can play and not win games. They are just 1-5 on the season but 3-3 against the point spread.

But this week, they get one of the best defenses in the NFL in the Seattle Seahawks, and they will find the going much tougher than in weeks past. Seattle should have won last week at Cincinnati, and they will this week at home, covering the spread.

Miami Dolphins (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles

The game of the week is in Philadelphia, where the two best offenses in the NFL do battle.

They are No. 1 and No. 2 in total yards, the Dolphins lead the NFL in points, and the Eagles are fifth. They’re also both top-10 in yards per play and third down conversion rate.

But Miami has a huge edge in red zone scoring, and that is why the Dolphins should not be underdogs in this game. The Dolphins score touchdowns on 80% of their red zone trips, the Eagles score TDs on just 45%.

Miami scores more touchdowns, more points, and can beat you more ways, and that is why you should take the points.

Pay Per Head Software

A big week across the NFL and college football. The Major League Baseball postseason marches on, with the World Series just around the corner. Plus, the NBA season tips off next week. So many sports, so many bets, if you are an independent bookmaker, the only way to stay on top of it all is with a pay per head software partnership.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Week 7 Best Bets

Best Bets for NFL Week 6

by WagerHome Blog on October 12, 2023

At this point in the season, there is little doubt that the San Francisco 49ers are the best team in the NFL. They are great on both sides of the ball and beating opponents by the largest margin in the league.

The Philadelphia Eagles are also 5-0, and they will have something to say about the invincibility of the 49ers when the two teams meet the first week of December. Until then, we’ll see if both of them can remain perfect.

San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Cleveland Browns

Normally, when the coach of a great NFL team tries to pump up an inferior opponent before they play on Sunday, we ignore it. But 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan has a point when he looks ahead to their game in Cleveland, and calls the Browns, “the biggest challenge so far.”

The Browns’ defense is very good, and by a number of traditional and advanced metrics, they rank first or second. They do indeed present a problem for the 49ers, who have found the going pretty easy on offense through five weeks.

The problem for the Browns is their offense, which is not good. And Deshaun Watson is uncertain to play, leaving the starting quarterback job to P.J. Walker. Walker made five starts last year for the Panthers, and he was 2-3.

The 49ers offense won’t show out as much in this game, but covering the spread is still the best bet.

NFL

Philadelphia Eagles (-7) at New York Jets

The Eagles also face a really good defense as they look to stay perfect on the season. The Jets also have a suspect offense. However, Breece Hall has emerged as a true star this season, and there are no signs of the ACL tear that ended his rookie NFL season in 2022.

Because of their ability to run the ball and play good defense, the Jets will keep this game close in the beginning. But the Eagles are just too good along both the offensive and defensive lines, and they will eventually wear down the Jets and cover this spread late in the NFL game.

Dallas Cowboys (-2) at Los Angeles Chargers

The Cowboys had a bad game last week at San Francisco, but they haven’t had two bad NFL games in a row in more than two years. This defense is still very good and easily the best defense faced this year by the Chargers.

L.A. is hard to trust, with bad losses to the Titans and Dolphins and near-misses against the Vikings and Raiders. The Cowboys fans will fill up SoFi Stadium, and they will be treated to a spread–covering win.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogBest Bets for NFL Week 6

The Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

by WagerHome Blog on September 12, 2023

It was the most anticipated home opener in the history of the New York Jets. It was the anniversary of 9/11, the Jets were debuting a Hall of Fame quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, who came running out of the tunnel carrying an American flag, and finally, after years of being cursed, the Jets were going to be an elite team.

Then, just four plays into Rodgers’ career in New York, it was over. His Achilles tendon was torn, and his season had ended.

Aaron Rodgers Injury: The Jets Super Bowl Chances

Within minutes of the injury, the futures bet on a Jets run to the Super Bowl dropped from +1800 to +2700. And by the end of the night, as the severity of the injury became more sure, those odds dropped all the way to +5500.

New York still has a great defense, as evidenced by their win on Monday night in spite of the injury, but Zach Wilson doesn’t look any better at quarterback than he has in his previous two seasons. As far as being a Super Bowl contender, this team is done.

The Green Bay Packers Fallout

While the blow to the Jets is obviously the greatest, the injury to Rodgers also affects the Green Bay Packers. In the trade that sent Rodgers to New York, the Packers got back a conditional 2024 draft pick that would become a first-round pick if Rodgers played 65% of the snaps. That is no longer a possibility, so instead of the 2024 pick being a first, it will be a second-round pick.

Green Bay received first- and second-round picks in this past draft, which became defensive end Lukas Van Ness and tight end Luke Musgrave.

The Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

Monday Night Bettors Revolt

With such a high-profile player leading off the first Monday Night Football game of the season, many sportsbooks offered special proposition bets, boosters, and same-game parlays.

Most of the sportsbooks are refunding the Rodgers specific bets, like overs on passing yards, touchdowns, etc. And if Rodgers was used in a leg of a same-game parlay, those bets are also being refunded. If, however, you bet the under, those are being treated like wins.

FanDuel and Pointsbet did not offer any refunds and were very clear about their posted rules. FanDuel wrote on social media;

“Due to regulatory requirements, all bets will be settled in accordance with our house rules. Unfortunately we will not be offering a bad beat on this occasion.”

Bettors were quick to complain, but FanDuel isn’t budging.

Pay Per Head Software

Rodgers is out for the year, but the NFL season is just starting. That means there are 17 more weeks of regular season football and four weeks of the postseason for independent bookmakers to make NFL money. However, to maximize those profits, the best way to go is with a pay per head software partnership.

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WagerHome BlogThe Fallout From the Aaron Rodgers Injury

NFL Cut Day

by WagerHome Blog on August 29, 2023

NFL Cut Day

With each passing day, we get closer to the beginning of the 2023 NFL season, and on Tuesday the 32 teams in the league took a massive step in that direction. New this year, only one roster cut in the preseason to get down to the mandated 53-man rosters.

It was a bloodbath, with nearly 1,000 players hitting the unemployment line all at once. And there were a number of surprise cuts.

Arizona Cardinals Starting Quarterback

With Kyler Murray missing at least a few weeks of games as he continues to rehab from last year’s ACL tear, it was assumed that Colt McCoy would be their starter to open the season. It will not be McCoy, as he has been cut by the team.

Head coach Jonathan Gannon is the one head coach who has not named his actual starter, claiming that it gives the Cardinals “a competitive advantage” for their game at Washington. Seeing as the only two choices now are Joshua Dobbs (on the roster for less than a week) or Clayton Tune (a fifth-round rookie), it’s impossible to see where the advantage lies.

In a non-Cardinals QB note, Bailey Zappe has been cut by the Patriots.

NFL Cuts
Kicker Reunion

The New Orleans Saints have given their kicker job to Blake Grupe, opting to part ways with longtime kicker Will Lutz. But don’t feel bad for Lutz – his old coach, Sean Payton, traded for him before he could hit the open market. Lutz is now the kicker for the Denver Broncos.

In six seasons in New Orleans, Lutz made 84.6% of his field goal attempts.

In other kicker news, a year ago the Browns used a fourth-round pick on Cade York. At 22 he has been released, and Cleveland is giving the job to Dustin Hopkins.

Running Back Carousel

With too many other options at running back in Baltimore, the Ravens have cut Melvin Gordon. The five-year Charger and three-year Bronco has now had failed attempts to play for the Chiefs and Ravens. It may be retirement that is in his immediate future.

Former Super Bowl hero, Damien Williams, is out in Las Vegas. James Robinson rushed for 1,000 yards in 2020 for Jacksonville, but he’s gone from the Jets to the Patriots in the last year, and he was just cut by the New York Giants. And no one met the Colts trade demands for Jonathan Taylor before the roster deadline, so he was placed on the PUP list by Indianapolis, meaning the earliest he’ll play is Week 5.

Pay Per Head Software

The 272 regular season games of the NFL schedule kickoff on Thursday, September 7, and run through Sunday, January 7.

Plus college football kicks off in earnest this weekend, then there is postseason baseball, the NBA and college basketball, hockey, and so much more. If you are an independent bookmaker, the only possible way to keep up with it all is with the help of a top pay per head software partner like WaherHome.com.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Cut Day

Where the U.S. Stands in Winning the World Cup

by WagerHome Blog on July 27, 2023

Wednesday night’s draw with the Netherlands was a rare miss for the United States. It was the first time in nine World Cup matches against European opponents that they didn’t win.

It also ended their streak of never trailing in 18 straight World Cup matches. The Netherlands were up 1-0 before the U.S. battled back in the second half to get the draw.

The Netherlands are a good side, having made it to the finals in 2019. But consider that the United States in the group stage in 2019 never conceded a goal. They blazed through all three of their matches, winning by a combined score of 18-0.

This is setting up to be a far less dominant performance, but is the U.S. still the favorite to ultimately win the World Cup trophy next month in Sydney?

Favorites to Win FIFA Women’s World Cup

  • United States (+250)
  • Spain (+320)
  • Germany (+550)
  • England (+600)
  • Brazil (+1300)
  • Netherlands (+1600)
  • Japan (+1800)
  • France (+2000)

When the World Cup began, the U.S. was at +250 to win it, and that is where they remain after two lackluster matches. So far, the betting public doesn’t see any reason to jump off the American bandwagon. Up next is a game on August 1 against Portugal, a team that they are a perfect 10-0 against and with a perfect scoreline of 39 goals for and zero goals against.

At the moment, the U.S. is on top of their group with a superior goal differential. But should the Netherlands beat Vietnam by enough, they could pass the U.S., leaving the Americans as a second-place qualifier for the next round.

Where the U.S. Stands in Winning the World Cup

The winner of Group E, which is where the United States leads, is scheduled to play the runner-up of Group G, which was Italy, as of Thursday. If the United States were to finish as the runner-up in Group E, they would instead play the winner of Group G, which is currently Sweden.

Neither Italy nor Sweden is among the favorites to win the tournament, so whichever team the United States plays, it should win. But while the U.S. has stayed stable atop the favorites board, we have seen some changes.

England was second at +400 when the World Cup began, but they have dropped to the fourth position. Spain was at +650 last week before their first game, but they sit on top of Group C after two impressive wins and are now playing at +320. Germany is the leader of Group H, and they have also improved their odds.

Pay Per Head Software

There are another three weeks of “football” to be played in New Zealand and Australia, plus football is set to kick off next week in Canton, Ohio, with the Hall of Fame Game. Then the entire NFL preseason begins the following week.

So many sports, so little time for an independent bookmaker to keep track of it all, which is why you need a pay per head software partnership.

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WagerHome BlogWhere the U.S. Stands in Winning the World Cup

NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year

by WagerHome Blog on May 23, 2023

We’ve now all had a chance to see the top rookies from the 2023 NFL Draft all wear their new uniforms and attend rookie mini-camp. And while there isn’t a whole lot to be gleaned from how they play when wearing shorts, the excitement is still very real. Which of these young quarterbacks is most likely to emerge as a star, and which of the defensive studs is going to make the biggest first-year impact.

Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Bijan Robinson (+250)
Bryce Young (+500)
Anthony Richardson (+600)
C.J. Stroud (+750)
Jaxson Smith-Njigba (+800)
Jahmyr Gibbs (+900)

Bijan Robinson is a great talent, and he’s with a team that is not only committed to the running game, they are already good at it. The Falcons ability to run the ball with lesser running backs is only going to lead to more touches for Robinson, and better production, and that’s why he is the favorite.

 

Bryce Young was the first player selected last month, and he has a former quarterback as a head coach. While the ceiling on Anthony Richardson is considered to be higher because of his amazing athleticism, Young is a better bet to succeed right away.

NFL

The last two NFL Rookies of the Year were wide receivers, and not only is Jaxson Smith-Njigba the best wideout of this class, with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on his outsides, he’s primed to have a big year.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Favorites

Will Anderson (+350)
Jalen Carter (+650)
Tyree Wilson (+800)
Devon Witherspoon (+900)
Christian Gonzalez (+950)

Everyone expects great things from Alabama EDGE Will Anderson. Obviously, the Texans do, considering what they paid to trade up for him. He is going to be a star, and we might see that from the first week of the season.

Jalen Carter out of Georgia is yet another great Bulldog defensive lineman going to the Philadelphia Eagles great defensive line. And if he can help Philly get back to the Super Bowl, he is sure to get Rookie of the Year attention.

From 1999 to 2014 we didn’t have a cornerback win the award. Now it’s happened three times in the last nine years, with Sauce Gardner taking how DROY honors last year for the Jets. The two corners with the biggest opportunities this season are Devon Witherspoon, now with the Seahawks, and Christian Gonzalez, who was drafted by the Patriots.

Pay Per Head Software

The NFL season is still a few months away, but the season of betting on postseason award winners is upon us. As are the rest of the futures bets, as well as the rest of the summer action, like baseball, golf, NASCAR, MMA, and the NBA Finals that are just around the corner.

In order to stay on top of it all a successful independent bookmaker needs a partnership with a top pay per head software provider. With WagerHome.com as that partner, you get your own fully customizable website, access to WagerHome’s huge menu of sports and betting options, plus EZ Live betting.

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WagerHome BlogNFL Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year

Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2023

It’s Mother’s Day at Darlington, as the Cup Series makes its annual regular season trip to the South Carolina raceway for the Goodyear 400. The Cup Series will return to this track in September when the playoffs begin.

Last week we were in Kansas, where Denny Hamlin was the big winner. And now he goes for back-to-back wins at a track that he has dominated in recent years. He won here in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and last year he was the runner-up.

Red-hot from last week and now racing at a place where he has been at his best has Hamlin as a co-favorite heading into the weekend.

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

  • Denny Hamlin (+550)
  • Kyle Larson (+550)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
  • Tyler Reddick (+850)
  • William Byron (+900)
  • Kyle Busch (+900)
  • Christopher Bell (+1000)
  • Ross Chastain (+1100)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1200)
  • Chase Elliott (+1200)

Kyle Larson was the runner-up to Hamlin last week, rebounding from back-to-back disappointments at Talladega and Dover. Larson now has five top-five finishes this season. Larson has never won at Darlington, and last year in this race, he finished 36th.

Martin Truex won the Goodyear 400 in 2021, and last year he led for 48 laps before a faulty water pump took him out of the race. He has led at least one lap in his last six races at Darlington. This season he has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races.

Tyler Reddick has never won here, but in the two races at Darlington in 2022, he finished second and third. And right behind him on the odds board is one the hottest drivers in the Cup Series, William Byron. He was third last week in Kansas, fourth in Dover, and seventh at Talladega.

Also, keep your eye on the trio of drivers paying +1200, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott.

Harvick had a mechanical issue last year that kept him from finishing. But in the 13 races at Darlington before that, he didn’t finish worse than ninth, and 11 times he was in the top five.

Logano won here last May, finished fourth in the playoff race in September, and has four other top-five finishes at Darlington since 2015. Elliott doesn’t have any wins at Darlington, but last May, he finished fifth, and in 2021 he was seventh.

Well, down the Goodyear 400 odds board is Erik Jones, paying +6500. He’s only finished in the top 10 in two of 12 races this season, but Darlington is his bread and butter. It’s the only track where he has won multiple times, which includes last September’s win over the playoff field.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogGoodyear 400 Betting Preview

What Makes Pay Per Head Right for You

by WagerHome Blog on April 4, 2023

This time of year is the best time to be a sports bettor. We just had the NCAA Tournament and the Final Four, which handles more than $15 billion in wagering. Major League Baseball has started its season, and just around the corner we have the NBA and NHL Playoffs about to start.

Add in weekly golf and racing events, regularly scheduled MMA fights, and the end of April’s NFL Draft, and being a sports bettor in April is like being a kid in the biggest candy store in the world.

It’s great for the bettor. All day, every day, there is something great to wager. But for the independent pay per head bookmaker, how can you possibly stay on top of it all?

Outsource the Busy Work but You Stay the Boss

The reason you began your business was because it is your business. You answer to no one. Your hours, your rules, and your money.

But when it comes to setting the odds and keeping them up to date, taking wagers, collecting payments and making payouts, the work can become overwhelming at this time of year. You want to grow your business, but there is never any time.

This is where a pay per head service like WagerHome.com comes in. For only a small fee per month and per customer, WagerHome will handle the busy work. Keeping the books, setting the odds, handling all financial transactions safely and securely, and giving you detailed reports on all of your clients betting favorites. That’s what WagerHome can do for you, and all through your own fully customizable website.

The business remains yours. You remain the boss, choosing exactly which sports each of your customers can access, setting individualized pay per head limits, and even having the option to offer an online casino. You run the show, and all from WagerHome’s easy to use Booking Agent Dashboard.

Why Your Clients Will Love Pay Per Head

The reality is that when you run your own sports betting shop, you have to limit what you offer. You’re only one person, and you can only be stretched so thin before you break.

But WagerHome gives you the power of a full-scale sportsbook that covers the Pay Per Head world. No longer do you have to limit your clients to the big-four North American sports. Offer them basketball, but from five continents.

WagerHome offers a huge menu of sports and betting options, including access to EZ Live Bet, their live in-play Pay Per Head betting platform. Expand your racing offerings and allow wagering from soccer leagues around the world. Give them real time odds and instant payouts, but most importantly, give your clients access to customer service experts 24 hours a day.

You can also give your clients horse racing options, eSports betting, and an online casino that is available on the web and mobile app, and with live dealers for Blackjack, roulette, and Baccarat.

The software is equipped with the highest security standards in the business, protecting everyone’s identity and financial information. That’s great for you, and it’s great for your clients.

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WagerHome BlogWhat Makes Pay Per Head Right for You