Best Bets for NFL Week 5
We are now into the bye weeks, so in Week 5, we have two fewer games to bet, as there are four teams off this week. Although one of those teams is not the Atlanta Falcons, who after playing in London last week, chose to play this week at home instead of taking the customary bye.
It was a good choice. The way they played on Sunday in London, better to get that taste out of your mouth as soon as possible.
Houston Texans (+2.5) at Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons have Bijan Robinson, who began the season as the Offensive Rookie of the Year frontrunner. But Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is the favorite right now after putting up four of the best games to ever start a season, and start a career.
DeMeco Ryans has this team playing well up and down the roster, and along with the stunning start for Stroud, there has been great play from wide receivers Nico Collins and Tank Dell, and rookie defensive end Will Anderson is making an impact on defense.
There are great players on the Falcons offense, but there hasn’t been much good play, and that will continue this week after their long weekend in England. Take the Texans and take the points.
Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions (-10)
The last time the Lions were double-digit favorites was 2017, when the Matthew Stafford-led Lions hosted the Cleveland Browns, quarterbacked by DeShone Kizer, coached by Hue Jackson, and finishing what was a 1-31 record over two seasons.
The Panthers aren’t nearly that bad, so a good deal of this week’s point spread is a belief in the Lions, and not just a disbelief in their opponent. However, there is definitely a good deal of the latter. The Panthers have problems that playing against the best team in the NFC North will only expose further.
The Lions covered in that game against the Browns in 2017, and they will cover this week as well.
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
It’s the game of the week, and it’s a playoff rematch from last season, when San Francisco and Brock Purdy ended the Cowboys hopes of a deep playoff run. There won’t be any season-ending losses this time around, but it’s easy to envision another big win for the Niners. Less easy to picture Dallas getting the win.
Purdy has been the most efficient quarterback in the league, and Christian McCaffrey is making a serious bid to end the quarterback position’s dominance of the MVP award. This game goes to the Niners, and hopefully we’ll see another addition of this rivalry in the playoffs in January.
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