Weekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 26

by Wager Home on September 26, 2019

Following this week’s NFL games, all 32 teams will get their first quarter grades. While teams such as New England, Kansas City and the Los Angeles Rams have picked up from where they left off last season, this week’s matchups take on much more importance for Philadelphia and the Los Angles Chargers in light of slower than expected starts.


Related: NFL Week 3 2019 | Week in Review


Private bookies trying to make the early adjustments in the betting lines in light of the early results are hoping that the favorable trends for underdogs and UNDERs on the total line carry over to this week’s results.

Once each team does have a quarter of its schedule in the books, the early overreactions start to turn into more reliable betting trends moving forward. Also, it is important to pay close attention to any significant injury situations to gauge the impact on a team’s overall performance.

It is important to pay close attention to team's injury reports

It is important to pay close attention to team’s injury reports

Season-to-Date Football Betting Results

The early NFL betting trends have favorites winning 63.8 percent of their games straight-up with that rate dropping to 42.6 percent when you factor in the closing spread. Road favorites are tearing it up either way. In 16 games where the road team was favored, it won 73.3 percent of the time SU while covering at 62.5 percent ATS. If you are using a bookie website, you most likely already know that road underdogs covering ATS has been another hot bet with a 67.7 winning percentage.

The NFL total line continues to lean towards the UNDER with 54.2 percent of the first three weeks of games staying UNDER the closing line. Keep an eye on this trend in Week 4 with that gap is beginning to close in more recent results.

Through four weeks of games in the college ranks, the favorite has won 86 percent of the time SU, but the Oddsmakers have been money to drop this number down to 52.3 percent ATS.

Interestingly enough, road favorites have the best winning rate ATS at 58.1 percent to mirror the same trend in the NFL. Betting the college total line, the numbers have been rather sharp as well with 51.4 percent of the games staying UNDER.

For any bookies tracking this year’s Westgate Las Vegas NFL SuperContest to get a feel for where most of the action is going, the Los Angeles Rams topped last week’s list with 1474 picks. Seattle was next on the list at 988 with Detroit rounding out the Top 3 with 937 picks.

Early NFL Week 4 Consensus Picks

As far as the NFL Week 4 games, the early betting consensus is leaning heavily towards the 3-0 Kansas City Chiefs (86%) as 6.5-point road favorites against the 2-0-1 Detroit Lions. The 3-0 New England Patriots (82%) are seven-point road favorites in an AFC East clash against the 3-0 Buffalo Bills.

In a pair of late starts on Sunday afternoon, Seattle (-5 against Arizona) and Minnesota (+2 against Chicago) are next on the list 74%.

This Weekend’s Big Betting Games

The final weekend of the MLB regular season is highlighted by a three-game set between the Chicago Cubs and the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cubs are out of the playoffs but they can play the role of spoiler as the Cardinals try and nail down the NL Central Division title. The Milwaukee Brewers have clinched a playoff spot and they are 1.5 games in back of St. Louis in the standings. Milwaukee will wrap up its season with three road games against Colorado.

The Cubs have been reduced to the spoiler role

The Cubs have been reduced to the spoiler role

Saturday’s college football schedule is highlighted by pair of head-to-head matchups at 3:30 p.m. between nationally ranked teams. No. 18 Virginia will be on the road as a 12.5-point underdog against No. 10 Notre Dame on NBC. Over on FOX in a Pac-12 showdown, No. 21 USC goes on the road to face No. 17 Washington. The Huskies are favored by 10.5 points.

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Wager HomeWeekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 26

NFL Week 3 2019 | Week in Review

by Wager Home on September 24, 2019

If you like upsets, Week 3 of the 2019 NFL season was full of them. Six dogs showed their bite upsetting the favorite, including the Detroit Lions who remain unbeaten after their win over the Philadelphia Eagles. Yes, the Lions are 2-0-1. Only three of Week 3’s straight up winners didn’t cover.

After two weeks of holding penalty after holding penalty, NFL officials dialed it back. The fewer holding calls had a direct impact on the Totals in Week 3. For those who want to know how to be a bookie, that is a piece of information that could help separate you from other pay per head services.

UPSETS

As mentioned, there were six upsets in Week 3, the biggest of which involved a rookie quarterback in New York. Daniel Jones, the sixth pick in this year’s NFL draft, stepped in and took over for veteran Eli Manning.

Daniel Jones stepped in and helped upset Tampa on Sunday

Daniel Jones stepped in and helped upset Tampa on Sunday

All Jones did was lead a fourth-quarter scoring drive and cap it off with a 7-yard touchdown run with just 1:16 to play to give the Giants their first victory of the season. Tampa Bay, the Giants opponent, was a 5-point favorite.

The other big upset in Week 3 was New Orleans heading to Seattle without Drew Brees. The Saints were 5-point underdogs but were never really challenged by the Seahawks. The 33-27 final score was not indicative of how the Saints dominated the game.

The Lions got a 100-yard kickoff return in a 27-24 upset of the Eagles. Philadelphia entered the game as a 4-point favorite. Houston won as a 3-point dog. Carolina beat Arizona as a 2.5-point dog and Jacksonville beat rival Tennessee on Thursday night. The Titans were favored by 1.5.

GOT YOU COVERED

Yes, Miami is still awful.

The Dolphins are so bad they were giving 22 points to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday. With Ezekiel Elliott in the lineup, the Cowboys won 31-6 to cover. The Patriots were not as fortunate. New England was a 21-point favorite over the ailing New York Jets. Leading by 23 in the fourth quarter, the Jets Jamal Adams stepped in front of backup QB Jarrett Stidham’s pass and returned it 61 yards for a touchdown. Final score, 30-14.

Along with the Patriots, Buffalo and San Francisco were both straight up winners but failed to cover. The Bills were 6-point favorites over Cincinnati and won 21-17. San Francisco beat the hapless Pittsburgh Steelers 24-20 also as 6-point favorites.

The Vikings were 9-point favorites against Oakland. Running back Dalvin Cook rushed for over 100 yards for the third consecutive week and Minnesota won 34-14. NFC North foe Green Bay also covered as 7-point favorites against Denver. The Packers sacked Broncos QB Joe Flacco six times and won 27-16.

Indianapolis, Kansas City, the Rams, and the Bears all covered as well.


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MORE BAD NEWS FOR FANTASY OWNERS

If you thought Week 2 was bad for injuries, Week 3 wasn’t much better. The biggest injury news involves New England WR Julian Edelman. The veteran left in the second quarter of the Patriots win over the Jets. He has an apparent rib injury and will be day to day so fantasy owners will have to pay close attention.

Barkley went down with an ankle injury and is out 4-8 weeks

Barkley went down with an ankle injury and is out 4-8 weeks

The other big one was the Giants Saquon Barkley. The running back went down with an ankle injury and did not return. It was later diagnosed that Barkley suffered a high ankle sprain. He will be out four to eight weeks, which will leave many fantasy owners scrambling.

TOTAL TRENDS

With fewer holding calls in Week 3, NFL offenses were able to open up a little and put more points on the board. In Week 2, the Under hit in 13 of the 16 games. Minus the flags in Week 3, 10 games saw the Over hit. Moving forward, this is something a price per head sports book can track to offer great service to its bettors.

CONTEST UPDATES

No perfect records remain in the Westgate Supercontest. Week 3 left a blemish on a few of the leaders’ records. The top-5 is all tied up with 14-1 marks. TUCO, THE801CREW, PHATCAT, ER@JAR, and CHAMPION ICEMAN sit at the top of the leader board. Both ER@JAR and CHAMPION ICEMAN were a perfect 5-0 for the week.

The results of the Circa Sports Million have not been updated to reflect Week 3 results. Mikeybarts1-1 and Mikeybarts1-2 remain tied at the top of the leaderboard with 9.5 points. The same is true of the Golden Nugget Ultimate Football Challenge. Rizzo (11-1-2) and Cuseboy (12-2) entered Week 3 each with 12 points to sit at the top of the standings.

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Wager HomeNFL Week 3 2019 | Week in Review

Weekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 20

by Wager Home on September 20, 2019

September presses on with the first few weeks of the new football season dominating the US sports betting scene. The college season heads into Week 4 while the NFL gears up for its third week of games. The final few weeks of the MLB regular season is still attracting some baseball betting action, especially on games in the tight NL Central Division title race.

One of the stronger betting tendencies in the NFL is overreactions to the early results. Teams like New England and Kansas City in the AFC and Dallas and the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC have been dominant in their first two games. However, the overall results have been highly favorable to bookies with underdogs covering at a much higher rate.

Quickly moving betting lines can save your bookie business

Quickly moving betting lines can save your bookie business

The ability to quickly move betting lines with your quality pay per head service while making changes to your betting board is vital in the early weeks of the football season given the knee-jerk reaction of bettors this time of the year.

Season-to-Date Football Betting Results

Through the first three weeks of games, college football favorites have won 87.2 percent of the time straight-up to add some higher value on betting moneylines. Factoring in the closing spread, things even out with favorites covering in 52.2 percent of the games.

One trend really benefitting bookies is the tight winning percentages against the spread for home teams (49.5%) vs. road teams (50.5%). The closing total line slightly favors the UNDER at 52.2%.

Turning to the betting trends through the first two weeks of the NFL season, the favorites have only won 64.5 percent of the time SU. The home team’s winning percentage stands at 45.2%.

Betting road dogs ATS continues to be the strongest play with a winning rate of 72.2 percent in 19 games. In contrast, home dogs have only covered 38.5 percent of the time through 13 games.


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Underdogs in general have covered 58.1 percent of the time. Betting the UNDER on the total line has been a profitable play with a winning rate of 62.5%.

Turning to last week’s results in Westgate’s NFL SuperContest, players were all over Cleveland with 2053 picks to easily top the list. Dallas and Pittsburgh were second on the list at 966 picks with Cincinnati (804) and the Los Angeles Rams (785) rounding out the Top 5 teams.

Early NFL Week 3 Consensus Picks

The early betting consensus for Week 3 NFL games heavily leans towards the Rams as three-point road favorites against Cleveland for Sunday Night Football’s featured matchup. Also high on the list is New England as a 22.5-point home favorite against the New York Jets.

Bettors are also jumping on Dallas as a 21.5-point home favorite against the Miami Dolphins. The Arizona Cardinals are attracting quite a bit of action as slight 2.5-point home underdogs against Carolina with Panthers’ quarterback Cam Newton still questionable for Sunday’s contest.

This Weekend’s Big Betting Games

The Big Ten is in the spotlight on this Saturday’s college football slate with No. 11 Michigan on the road against No. 13 Wisconsin in a huge inter-division showdown. The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points at home and they have covered ATS in their last five home games against the Wolverines. The total for this 12 p.m. kickoff on FOX is set at 44 points.

The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points over the Wolverines at home

The Badgers are favored by 3.5 points over the Wolverines at home

One of the top matchups on Sunday’s NFL slate pits the 2-0 Baltimore Ravens on the road against the 2-0 Kansas City Chiefs in a 1 p.m. start on CBS. The Chiefs are favored by 6.5 points with the total set at 52.5 points. The Ravens have a slight 4-2 edge ATS in their last six games against Kansas City.

MLB bettors can look forward to a huge NL Central showdown between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs in an extended four-game series starting on Thursday night at Wrigley Field.

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Wager HomeWeekly Bookie Betting Report- Sept. 20

NFL Week 1 2019 | Week in Review

by Wager Home on September 10, 2019

If only we could all start our own bookie website. Action from Week 1 of the NFL was fierce, and plenty of bettors and bookies alike walked home with a little extra in their wallets. Now we bring you the NFL Week 1 in review.

Well, almost everyone.

Adam Vinatieri’s missed extra point early in the Colts-Chargers game proved to be a difference-maker in the game ending as a push.


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Five underdogs stepped up and won in Week 1 starting with the NFL’s kickoff game in Chicago. Green Bay went in and gave the Bears a dose of their own medicine in a 10-3 Packers win. Green Bay was one of four road dogs – Buffalo, Tennessee, and San Francisco – that won in Week 1. Oakland, a three-point underdog with the Antonio Brown saga finally solved, went on to pound Denver at home on Monday night.

New England, a 5.5-point favorite over the Steelers absolutely pounded Pittsburgh and won by 30. Similarly, the Ravens made Miami look like a high school defense in putting up 59 points easily covering the seven-point spread.

Minnesota, Kansas City, and Dallas all covered. The Chiefs and Cowboys got big days from their quarterbacks – Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott – while the Vikings ran the ball 38 times for 172 yards in a 28-12 win over Atlanta.

Prescott went 25 for 32 with 405 yards and 4 TDs in Week 1

Prescott went 25 for 32 with 405 yards and 4 TDs in Week 1

Injury Update

Probably the biggest news on the injury wire from Week 1 was the Chiefs loss of WR Tyreek Hill. Hill, who had some offseason legal difficulties, hurt a shoulder early in Kansas City’s win over Jacksonville on Sunday. Hill will likely miss several weeks, but it doesn’t appear that he will be placed on injured reserve.

In the same game, Jaguars QB Nick Foles broke his left clavicle in the first quarter and was replaced by rookie Gardner Minshew. Foles will have surgery and will probably be placed on injured reserve and will be expected to return late in the season.

Other injuries in Week 1 that could affect any budding pay per head business include both Baker Mayfield and Mahomes. Mayfield bruised his right wrist and Mahomes suffered a sprained ankle. Neither should miss any time. Colts WR Devin Funchess may have a broken collarbone. Bengals RB Joe Mixon suffered an injury to his right ankle against Seattle and Chargers WR Mike Williams hurt a knee in the second half of their win over Jacksonville.

Latest Fantasy News

Hopefully fantasy football owners drooling over Tyreek Hill were smart enough to draft Sammy Watkins as a backup. With Hill out, Watkins became Mahomes go-to guy and ended up with nine catches, 198 yards, and three touchdowns.

Those with Foles as their starting quarterback (or even as a backup) will have to scramble. Foles’ backup, Minshew, actually played pretty well completing 22-of-25 passes for 275 yards and two touchdowns. He will become the starter until Foles returns.

Pittsburgh’s JuJu Smith-Schuster is now questionable for Week 2. Add him to the list of Foles, Mixon, Tevin Coleman, and Derrius Guice. For those scouring waiver wires, take a long look at guys like WR Marquise Brown and RB Malcolm Brown.

Brown, the receiver, caught two touchdown passes from Lamar Jackson in Baltimore and Brown the running back had 53 yards on 11 carries backing up Todd Gurley for the Rams. Before we move on, don’t miss our latest social media posts, and follow us on Twitter @Wagerhome today!

We will be here all season long giving you the news and notes to help you win more bets and pick the perfect fantasy team to get you in the money. Make Wagerhome your home for football information.

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Wager HomeNFL Week 1 2019 | Week in Review

5 Steps For Becoming A Bookie

by Wager Home on May 26, 2019

Having success in sports betting is more than picking sides or looking for favorites. Why taking the risks when you can play with other risks? Becoming a bookie has good benefits when you are tired of losing bets or you are looking for a new business model. Remember that becoming a bookie is about always staying on the opposite side of your clients and that’s not bad at all. To achieve business success, use our advanced bookie software that allows you to control and report actions.  Follow the next five steps and let us help you in becoming a bookie.

First Step

Talk to all your friends that might be interested in placing wagers for sports betting. Look for the main condition first which is sharing a sports fan passion. As soon as you have a candidate close cheering for a team you have a prospect, as soon as you talk to them about earning some extra money you will have a lead and as soon as they place a bet, you have a new client. This process needs to be in your bookie business mindset without skipping any stage, soon you will have a big list playing frequently.

Also, choose a productive communication channel according to your client’s need. For example, if you have a bettor over the 60’s, of course, you can’t send emails because communication will be hard. Digital stuff matters. If you have a bettor between 30’s and 50’s, send whatsapps or emails as it is perfect because most likely will be busy at work during business hours. During your first management actions ask directly which channel they feel more comfortable with. The best practice is to personalize the communication and keep them in the loop regarding their account.

Second Step

Be patient with your client’s wagers. Probably they will start playing with favorites only, not taking risks and instead of trying to secure their business. Just remember that because of the juice you will always have a return by just setting up the house. You can also motivate your clients to take parleys or teasers for specific sports. If one team loses all the wager falls apart, although winning these bets could mean a big boost in numbers. Sometimes with only $10 you can get $200 in a four-pick parlay.

Third Step

Pay always on time. The most likely thing that happens when your clients win a bet is to call you and request a cashout. Revert their need mentioning the odds for the next game on the same side they just selected. Another way to do that is by offering a similar line. It can work for underdog lines. In the end, what is very important is to follow your client’s instruction, respect their decisions and assure incredible customer service. Don’t forget that cashout is one of Wager Home’s feature in our bookie software.

Fourth Step

Check and control your client’s figures. Once you see a client who is doing ok and notice they show wise skills; go and offer benefits, increase or decrease limits and set different criteria with these players. Is good to know if they have previous experiences in sports-betting to imagine their chances of winning. Be close to their lifetime wagers. if you see that a customer is placing the same bet a lot of times and the line is good, don’t hesitate to put a flag. With Wager Home’s bookie software you will avoid all chances of wrong lines.

Five Step

Never let your customers place bets when the game has started. Tricky customers always place bets within the last minutes before moving the ball. Learning about last calls is important. Instead of that, offer them live betting which is adjusted to the time in the game and is perfectly managed by our bookie software. Remember to convince customers of using live betting and taking advantage of watching the game. Sometimes getting to know who is dominating the game and who has created more chances to score can give us insights when choosing a side.

Remember that you need an advanced tool to keep track of your business plan. Wager Home is the best bookie software with fantastic features as 24/7 support, server security, player platform, and amazing pricing plans. Follow our interesting blogs and predictions always.

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Wager Home5 Steps For Becoming A Bookie

Pay Per Head- Tutorial- Parlay buyout option

by Wager Home on March 19, 2019

Amazing new function to the pay per head software market. Only seen before on post up platforms. We are introducing Parlay Buyout. With this new feature, your players will be able to buy out from a parlay while still pending. The agent chooses the percentage it will cost for the parlay to be bought out. We will be introducing Future and Teaser buyouts in the coming months. This new feature will create more parlay wagering volume and it will be another way to increase revenue. Most bookie software will not have these types of features added because they are not proprietary. Because we have our own programmers we are constantly updating our pay per head software functionality to appease the local per head bookmaker and in return, they will be able to offer these functions that no other service provides. Unlike DGS which the majority of the pay per head market uses we take the feedback from clients and put it into our product. At Wagerhome.com the #1 priority is to keep agents ahead of their competition. If you want to be ahead of everyone else in what you can offer call us today 1-800-728-8509 to set up a test account and see what your players are missing. Our pricing is competitive, we offer a full -service call center and have EZLIVE which has 1000’s of betting options daily. We also offer live casino which is charged per head, unlike our competitors who take a percentage. Why give away a percentage of YOUR business. This goes for your personal players. Never give away more than what the pay per head fee costs. Anyone paying a percentage needs to call Wagerhome.com today and start earning 100% of the profits.

Read more in Wager Home’s blog: Before the “Bot” – A lesson in reality.

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Wager HomePay Per Head- Tutorial- Parlay buyout option